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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026
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Justin Dowling

Justin Dowling

NYR·CJersey number #37

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 83 game sample
PTS
11.0
SOG
57.5
G
3.8
A
7.2
PPP
0.3
HIT
89.9
BLK
34.7
PIM
8.9

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 83 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 83 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 83 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.12
G
0.04
A
0.08
SOG
0.67
PPP
0.00
HIT
1.09
BLK
0.41
PIM
0.10

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2620000.0017:11
2024-25522570.133410:13
2023-2421010.50310:32
2021-22222240.18179:35

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2024-2550000.00411:14

Last 10 · game log

DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Jan 5vs UTA10002107:18
Jan 2@ FLA00001007:05
Apr 29@ CARPO000021010:42
Apr 27vs CARPO000020010:01
Apr 25vs CARPO000030010:54
Apr 22@ CARPO200020013:19
Apr 20@ CARPO200030011:17
Apr 16vs DET200010014:59
Apr 13vs NYI10001009:08
Apr 8vs BOS000010011:15

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-260.10minus 0.1 goals above expected23
2024-253.82minus 1.8 goals above expected3462
2023-240.51plus 0.5 goals above expected26
2021-222.52minus 0.5 goals above expected1322

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-260 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-252 goals, 5 assists, 7 points0-0-00-0-0
2023-241 goal, 0 assists, 1 point0-0-00-0-0
2021-222 goals, 2 assists, 4 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

3 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (2)Shot on goal (1)Goal (0)

No modeled markets for this player. The stats above are this player's full record.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.