ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Teams

32 teams · by xG-Elo rating

CARCarolina Hurricanes1573#153 wins, 22 regulation losses, 7 overtime losses, 113 pointsOTTOttawa Senators1564#244 wins, 27 regulation losses, 11 overtime losses, 99 pointsCOLColorado Avalanche1560#355 wins, 16 regulation losses, 11 overtime losses, 121 pointsVGKVegas Golden Knights1550#439 wins, 26 regulation losses, 17 overtime losses, 95 pointsPHIPhiladelphia Flyers1534#543 wins, 27 regulation losses, 12 overtime losses, 98 pointsTBLTampa Bay Lightning1532#650 wins, 26 regulation losses, 6 overtime losses, 106 pointsEDMEdmonton Oilers1524#741 wins, 30 regulation losses, 11 overtime losses, 93 pointsMINMinnesota Wild1523#846 wins, 24 regulation losses, 12 overtime losses, 104 pointsNJDNew Jersey Devils1518#942 wins, 37 regulation losses, 3 overtime losses, 87 pointsDALDallas Stars1518#1050 wins, 20 regulation losses, 12 overtime losses, 112 pointsCBJColumbus Blue Jackets1511#1140 wins, 30 regulation losses, 12 overtime losses, 92 pointsUTAUtah Mammoth1509#1243 wins, 33 regulation losses, 6 overtime losses, 92 pointsBUFBuffalo Sabres1509#1350 wins, 23 regulation losses, 9 overtime losses, 109 pointsLAKLos Angeles Kings1505#1435 wins, 27 regulation losses, 20 overtime losses, 90 pointsPITPittsburgh Penguins1504#1541 wins, 25 regulation losses, 16 overtime losses, 98 pointsDETDetroit Red Wings1502#1641 wins, 31 regulation losses, 10 overtime losses, 92 pointsANAAnaheim Ducks1502#1743 wins, 33 regulation losses, 6 overtime losses, 92 pointsMTLMontréal Canadiens1501#1848 wins, 24 regulation losses, 10 overtime losses, 106 pointsFLAFlorida Panthers1497#1940 wins, 38 regulation losses, 4 overtime losses, 84 pointsSTLSt. Louis Blues1494#2037 wins, 33 regulation losses, 12 overtime losses, 86 pointsWPGWinnipeg Jets1494#2135 wins, 35 regulation losses, 12 overtime losses, 82 pointsWSHWashington Capitals1491#2243 wins, 30 regulation losses, 9 overtime losses, 95 pointsNSHNashville Predators1481#2338 wins, 34 regulation losses, 10 overtime losses, 86 pointsBOSBoston Bruins1480#2445 wins, 27 regulation losses, 10 overtime losses, 100 pointsNYINew York Islanders1471#2543 wins, 34 regulation losses, 5 overtime losses, 91 pointsSJSSan Jose Sharks1465#2639 wins, 35 regulation losses, 8 overtime losses, 86 pointsSEASeattle Kraken1458#2734 wins, 37 regulation losses, 11 overtime losses, 79 pointsNYRNew York Rangers1458#2834 wins, 39 regulation losses, 9 overtime losses, 77 pointsCGYCalgary Flames1453#2934 wins, 39 regulation losses, 9 overtime losses, 77 pointsCHIChicago Blackhawks1448#3029 wins, 39 regulation losses, 14 overtime losses, 72 pointsTORToronto Maple Leafs1439#3132 wins, 36 regulation losses, 14 overtime losses, 78 pointsVANVancouver Canucks1437#3225 wins, 49 regulation losses, 8 overtime losses, 58 points

Where the model disagrees

Each club's place in the standings against its place in our xG-Elo rating. A positive number means the rating puts them that many spots higher than their points do. This is a disagreement, not a correction — the rating is one model and the standings are what happened.

Better than their record
1NJD#21 in points · #9 by rating+12
2VGK#13 in points · #4 by rating+9
3EDM#14 in points · #7 by rating+7
4OTT#9 in points · #2 by rating+7
5CBJ#17 in points · #11 by rating+6
Worse than their record
1BOS#8 in points · #24 by rating-16
2MTL#6 in points · #18 by rating-12
3WSH#12 in points · #22 by rating-10
4BUF#4 in points · #13 by rating-9
5DAL#3 in points · #10 by rating-7