2026-27 regular season

Teams

32 clubs, ranked by xG-Elo.

Where the model and the standings disagree most · 2026-27

The model rates the Toronto Maple Leafs 18 spots lower than the standings do

#11 of 32 in points · #29 of 32 by xG-Elo

Ranked by

Every club, 2026-27: xG-Elo, record, points and the gap between the model’s rank and the standings
#	Club		Record	Points	Model vs standings
1	Carolina Hurricanes	1571	12 wins, 2 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	26	0
2	Minnesota Wild	1543	10 wins, 3 regulation losses, 3 overtime losses	23	+1
3	Vegas Golden Knights	1541	9 wins, 5 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	20	+2
4	Colorado Avalanche	1538	9 wins, 5 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	19	+3
5	Ottawa Senators	1534	9 wins, 6 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	19	+3
6	New Jersey Devils	1533	9 wins, 5 regulation losses, 0 overtime losses	18	+3
7	Tampa Bay Lightning	1532	8 wins, 3 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	18	+5
8	Utah Mammoth	1530	9 wins, 6 regulation losses, 0 overtime losses	18	+2
9	Edmonton Oilers	1519	11 wins, 2 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	24	−7
10	Florida Panthers	1515	8 wins, 5 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	18	+3
11	Dallas Stars	1511	8 wins, 5 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	17	+4
12	Buffalo Sabres	1507	7 wins, 4 regulation losses, 3 overtime losses	17	+4
13	Los Angeles Kings	1504	4 wins, 7 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	10	+16
14	St. Louis Blues	1504	7 wins, 6 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	15	+6
15	Montréal Canadiens	1503	9 wins, 3 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	20	−9
16	Detroit Red Wings	1503	7 wins, 5 regulation losses, 3 overtime losses	17	+1
17	Washington Capitals	1497	8 wins, 5 regulation losses, 0 overtime losses	16	+1
18	Pittsburgh Penguins	1496	5 wins, 7 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	12	+9
19	Boston Bruins	1494	11 wins, 4 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	23	−15
20	Philadelphia Flyers	1492	4 wins, 8 regulation losses, 4 overtime losses	12	+6
21	Columbus Blue Jackets	1490	5 wins, 7 regulation losses, 0 overtime losses	10	+9
22	Anaheim Ducks	1486	6 wins, 7 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	13	+3
23	New York Rangers	1483	7 wins, 7 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	15	−2
24	Nashville Predators	1481	5 wins, 4 regulation losses, 5 overtime losses	15	−2
25	Winnipeg Jets	1481	4 wins, 8 regulation losses, 3 overtime losses	11	+3
26	New York Islanders	1480	7 wins, 5 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	16	−7
27	Seattle Kraken	1464	8 wins, 5 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	17	−13
28	Calgary Flames	1462	7 wins, 8 regulation losses, 0 overtime losses	14	−4
29	Toronto Maple Leafs	1460	8 wins, 6 regulation losses, 2 overtime losses	18	−18
30	Chicago Blackhawks	1451	4 wins, 10 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	9	+1
31	San Jose Sharks	1449	7 wins, 8 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	15	−8
32	Vancouver Canucks	1436	3 wins, 12 regulation losses, 1 overtime losses	7	0

xG-Elo: A team rating built on xG margin, not results. Every club starts from 1500 and is pulled back toward it between seasons, so above 1500 is stronger than an average team.
Gap: The model’s rank against the club’s points rank, in spots: positive when the model ranks a club higher than its points do. Under 7 spots apart the two are read as in line with each other.

2026-27 · 32 clubs · goals

Every club’s ledgers

Each column is shaded from the league’s lowest figure to its highest; a stronger shade is more, whichever end of the ice. A club with fewer than 41 games is printed unshaded, and the shading runs over the rest.

Expected goals and goals for and against, every club, 2026-27, in order of expected margin
Club	xG for	xG against	Goals for	Goals against
CAR	64.4	40.7	63	35
MIN	64.6	45.7	52	36
NJD	50.6	36.0	48	40
UTA	56.7	42.4	54	52
VGK	55.2	42.9	53	46
TBL	49.2	40.2	48	42
COL	50.8	42.6	64	45
EDM	48.5	42.2	63	43
FLA	51.2	45.1	47	44
DET	50.6	45.5	44	44
DAL	42.2	37.6	37	30
OTT	53.1	50.0	50	51
STL	43.7	41.1	44	41
NYR	50.0	48.5	45	46
BUF	46.4	45.5	43	48
BOS	52.0	51.6	57	38
MTL	47.4	48.0	46	42
WSH	48.5	49.1	44	42
LAK	40.0	41.4	36	45
PIT	47.4	49.2	46	48
NSH	43.0	44.8	40	44
TOR	50.4	54.5	60	51
NYI	41.7	46.3	39	38
CGY	42.1	49.3	38	53
CBJ	32.7	40.4	28	39
ANA	44.6	52.5	49	53
SEA	40.3	48.4	50	52
WPG	44.1	54.8	34	54
CHI	40.5	55.8	33	58
PHI	41.7	58.6	35	53
SJS	46.8	66.0	41	53
VAN	40.2	63.8	47	72

Open-play unblocked attempts at every strength, and the goals on them; not the standings’ goal totals.