Wed, Sep 16, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

SJS San Jose Sharks

@WPGWinnipeg Jets

Last gameApr 16 · 8:00 PM ET

The model's read

a disagreement, not a correction

SJS's record is better than the model rates them

In points

#24/32

what happened

By our rating

#26/32

xG-Elo, walk-forward

Gap

-2

rank places

The rating is built from expected-goal margin, game by game, and never sees the standings. A gap means the chances a club generated and allowed point somewhere different from where its points did. Where the model disagrees most →

Record

82 games · regular season

W–L–OTL: 39 wins, 35 regulation losses, 8 overtime losses
Points: 86
Points rank: 24/32
Goal diff: −41

Strength rating

xG-Elo · walk-forward

Rating: 1465
League rank: 26/32
Games: 82

1500 is the baseline every club starts from and regresses toward between seasons, so above it is stronger than an average team and below it weaker. The rating is driven by model expected-goals margin rather than by results, which is why it can disagree with the standings — that disagreement is the reading at the top of this page.

Last 10 · results

WApr 16@WPG6–1

LApr 15@CHI2–5

WApr 13@NSH3–2

OTLApr 11vsVAN3–4SO

LApr 9@ANA1–6

LApr 8vsEDM2–5

WApr 6vsCHI3–2

LApr 4vsNSH3–6

WApr 2vsTOR4–1

WApr 1vsANA4–3

Current roster · per-game rates

29 skaters · 3 goalies

Five-season recency-weighted per-game rates · Sample = the games each rate rests on

Forwards	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Macklin Celebrini	71	1.25	0.49	0.76	3.46	152
Will Smith	2	0.77	0.31	0.46	2.17	143
Logan Couture	39	0.73	0.29	0.44	2.35	165
Igor Chernyshov	92	0.68	0.32	0.36	1.64	28
Tyler Toffoli	73	0.66	0.31	0.35	2.56	409
Mason Marchment	27	0.64	0.27	0.36	1.89	386
Alexander Wennberg	21	0.56	0.18	0.38	1.13	428
Collin Graf	51	0.52	0.24	0.29	1.41	121
Kiefer Sherwood	44	0.48	0.27	0.21	2.08	267
Michael Misa	77	0.47	0.20	0.27	1.29	45
Adam Gaudette	81	0.36	0.24	0.12	1.31	213
Cam Lund	46	0.27	0.18	0.09	1.09	11
Alex Barré-Boulet	16	0.28	0.13	0.15	0.96	57
Brett Leason	17	0.25	0.10	0.15	1.15	227
Martin Kaut	87	0.21	0.10	0.10	1.14	42
Ty Dellandrea	10	0.20	0.05	0.16	1.01	261
Ethan Cardwell	56	0.15	0.15	0.00	0.85	13
Barclay Goodrow	23	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.87	432
Patrick Giles	54	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.83	20
Tye Felhaber	48	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.40	5
Zack Ostapchuk	63	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.66	122

Defence	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Dmitry Orlov	9	0.42	0.06	0.36	1.35	421
Darnell Nurse	25	0.35	0.09	0.26	2.18	471
Jacob Trouba	65	0.33	0.08	0.25	1.91	445
Michael Kesselring	7	0.24	0.05	0.19	1.51	191
Luca Cagnoni	42	0.17	0.00	0.17	1.25	9
Nolan Allan	5	0.19	0.02	0.16	0.40	43
Sam Dickinson	6	0.19	0.01	0.18	1.00	72
Libor Hajek	24	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.78	33

Goalies	#	SV%	GA	SV	SA	TOI	Sample
Eric Comrie	1	.8958	2.71	23.3	26.0	54:39	96
Alex Nedeljkovic	33	.8965	2.81	24.3	27.1	56:22	190
Yaroslav Askarov	30	.8855	3.26	25.1	28.3	55:06	63

How these rates are built — club is the player's current one; the rates span five seasons

Club membership is the NHL's current one, refreshed nightly — a player traded mid-season appears under the club he is with now, while the rates beside him span five seasons wherever he played them. Recency-weighted per-game averages; Sample is the games they rest on. Skaters are ordered by a rate shrunk toward the league average in proportion to how little a player has played, so a one-game sample does not out-rank a career — the figures shown are the unshrunk ones, and for anyone with a real sample the two are the same number. Save percentage is total saves over total shots, weighted — not the average of per-game save percentages, which would count a two-shot relief appearance as heavily as a forty-shot start.

Best cap efficiency · points per $1M

2026-27 cap · 2025-26 production

Macklin CelebriniC82 gp$0.97M6 yrsUFA115117.9

Will SmithC69 gp$0.95M1 yrRFA5962.1

Michael MisaC45 gp$0.99M2 yrsRFA2121.3

Igor ChernyshovL28 gp$0.95M2 yrsRFA1920.1

Sam DickinsonD72 gp$0.95M2 yrsRFA1414.7

A player measured against the season that earned his contract looks expensive, so recent signings sit low and entry-level deals sit high — by construction. All 32 clubs.

Markets · Apr 16 · modeled projections

0 G · sorted by projection

No G lines were captured for this game.