ODDPUCK
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Ethan Bear

Ethan Bear

NYI·DJersey number #74

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 143 game sample
PTS
19.5
SOG
103.5
G
5.0
A
14.5
PPP
0.7
HIT
60.8
BLK
96.1
PIM
33.1

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 143 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 143 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 143 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.22
G
0.05
A
0.17
SOG
1.24
PPP
0.00
HIT
0.71
BLK
1.19
PIM
0.40

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2023-24241340.172414:55
2022-2361313160.267518:32
2021-225859140.249716:05

Last 10 · game log

DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Mar 13@ EDM000013014:25
Mar 11@ WPG100021014:42
Mar 9vs CHI000001012:49
Mar 7@ PIT000002012:43
Feb 27@ DET100000215:58
Feb 26vs OTT001010015:24
Feb 22@ TBL10000008:33
Feb 20vs NJD100010012:12
Feb 13vs COL100001013:02
Feb 11vs VAN000013012:14

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2023-241.71minus 0.7 goals above expected2042
2022-233.73minus 0.7 goals above expected49106
2021-224.75plus 0.3 goals above expected53129

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2023-241 goal, 3 assists, 4 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-233 goals, 12 assists, 15 points0-0-00 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2021-225 goals, 8 assists, 13 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point0-0-0

Shot locations

42 attempts · 1 goals · 2023-24
Missed the net (18)Shot on goal (23)Goal (1)

No modeled markets for this player. The stats above are this player's full record.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.