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Matt Luff

Matt Luff

NYI·RJersey number #39

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 47 game sample
PTS
19.5
SOG
89.5
G
13.4
A
6.1
PPP
0.8
HIT
115.3
BLK
51.8
PIM
6.2

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 47 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 47 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 47 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.21
G
0.16
A
0.05
SOG
1.04
PPP
0.00
HIT
1.43
BLK
0.61
PIM
0.03

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2651010.2059:08
2022-23192240.21209:53
2021-22233360.26269:25

Last 10 · game log

DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Dec 18vs NYR00000007:20
Dec 15vs NSH200020013:00
Dec 12vs CHI11003009:03
Dec 9vs BOS20002207:44
Dec 7@ MTL00001208:33
Apr 11@ CAR000001010:16
Apr 10vs DAL200010014:11
Apr 8vs PIT200012011:36
Apr 6vs BUF00100009:04
Apr 4@ MTL210051010:34

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-260.21plus 0.8 goals above expected35
2022-232.02plus 0.0 goals above expected1732
2021-222.43plus 0.6 goals above expected1834

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-261 goal, 0 assists, 1 point0-0-00-0-0
2022-232 goals, 2 assists, 4 points0-0-00-0-0
2021-223 goals, 3 assists, 6 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

5 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (0)Shot on goal (4)Goal (1)

No modeled markets for this player. The stats above are this player's full record.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.