ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026
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Jack Rathbone

Jack Rathbone

BUF·DJersey number #3

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 20 game sample
PTS
19.8
SOG
103.7
G
8.2
A
11.5
PPP
2.8
HIT
67.5
BLK
61.3
PIM
24.0

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 20 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 20 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 20 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.13
G
0.06
A
0.06
SOG
1.10
PPP
0.00
HIT
0.61
BLK
0.71
PIM
0.19

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2022-23111120.181214:14
2021-2290000.001013:50

Last 10 · game log

DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 4vs SEA000010015:27
Apr 2vs LAK200022015:35
Mar 31vs CGY00002009:41
Mar 26@ CHI100012214:06
Mar 25@ DAL21000009:14
Nov 9@ MTL200000013:30
Nov 8@ OTT001000013:13
Oct 28vs PIT100010016:31
Oct 27@ SEA000001013:59
Oct 24vs CAR200002017:24

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2022-230.61plus 0.4 goals above expected716
2021-220.60minus 0.6 goals above expected816

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2022-231 goal, 1 assist, 2 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0
2021-220 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

16 attempts · 1 goals · 2022-23
Missed the net (4)Shot on goal (11)Goal (1)

No modeled markets for this player. The stats above are this player's full record.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.