Colten Ellis

BUF·G#92

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 16 game sample

PTS: —
SOG: —
G: —

A: —
PPP: —
HIT: —
BLK: —
PIM: —

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 16 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 16 games incl. playoffs

SV%: 0.903
SV: 25.69
SA: 28.44
GA: 2.75
TOI: 56:57
GS: 0.88

SV% is total saves over total shots faced (weighted), not the average of per-game save percentages — the two differ. TOI and GS are per appearance.

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	GS	SA	GA	SV%	GAA	SO
2025-26	16	14	455	44	0.903	2.90	1

No win-loss record — the NHL credits the decision to whoever was in net, not the starter

A decision goes to whichever goalie was in net when the winning goal was scored, which is a play-by-play fact rather than part of a boxscore line — and 884 team-games here used more than one goalie, so crediting the starter would be wrong often enough to matter. Save percentage is total saves over total shots faced. A shutout is a game this goalie was the only one their team used and conceded nothing, which is the NHL's own rule and needs no minimum-minutes cutoff.

Last 10 · goaltending

● started

Date	Opp	SA	SV	GA	SV%	TOI
Started. Apr 15	vs DAL	28	25	3	.893	65:00
Started. Apr 9	vs CBJ	37	37	0	1.000	60:00
Relieved. Apr 4	@ WSH	23	20	3	.870	54:08
Started. Feb 3	@ TBL	35	31	4	.886	64:24
Relieved. Jan 27	@ TOR	18	16	2	.889	47:46
Started. Jan 15	vs MTL	23	20	3	.870	59:47
Started. Jan 12	vs FLA	31	28	3	.903	57:28
Started. Jan 8	@ NYR	32	30	2	.938	60:00
Started. Dec 9	@ EDM	6	6	0	1.000	19:01
Started. Dec 3	@ PHI	35	30	5	.857	60:00

Goaltending — goals saved above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xGA	GA	GSAx	GP	Att
2025-26	45.2	44	plus 1.2 goals saved above expected	16	665

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point	0-0-0	0-0-0

No goalie market is modeled, so no projections are shown. The game log above is this player's record.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.