Egor Chinakhov
Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 253 game sample- PTS
- 42.6
- SOG
- 159.0
- G
- 21.1
- A
- 21.5
- PPP
- 6.4
- HIT
- 72.8
- BLK
- 35.6
- PIM
- 11.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 253 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 253 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 253 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.52
- G
- 0.26
- A
- 0.26
- SOG
- 1.94
- PPP
- 0.08
- HIT
- 0.88
- BLK
- 0.43
- PIM
- 0.14
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 72 | 21 | 21 | 42 | 0.58 | 140 | 13:29 |
| 2024-25 | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 0.50 | 68 | 15:43 |
| 2023-24 | 53 | 16 | 13 | 29 | 0.55 | 110 | 15:10 |
| 2022-23 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 0.43 | 44 | 13:15 |
| 2021-22 | 62 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 0.23 | 98 | 12:30 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 8 | 14:25 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29 | @ PHIPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 |
| Apr 27 | vs PHIPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 |
| Apr 25 | @ PHIPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15:15 |
| Apr 22 | @ PHIPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:27 |
| Apr 20 | vs PHIPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:47 |
| Apr 18 | vs PHIPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16:16 |
| Apr 12 | @ WSH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:00 |
| Apr 11 | vs WSH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:08 |
| Apr 9 | @ NJD | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 |
| Apr 5 | vs FLA | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 |
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 16.0 | 21 | plus 5.0 goals above expected | 62 | 218 |
| 2024-25 | 6.3 | 7 | plus 0.7 goals above expected | 27 | 104 |
| 2023-24 | 10.9 | 16 | plus 5.1 goals above expected | 49 | 176 |
| 2022-23 | 4.3 | 4 | minus 0.3 goals above expected | 27 | 71 |
| 2021-22 | 8.2 | 7 | minus 1.2 goals above expected | 58 | 143 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 goals, 17 assists, 36 points | 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 5 goals, 6 assists, 11 points | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 15 goals, 12 assists, 27 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 3 goals, 8 assists, 11 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 6 goals, 7 assists, 13 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
218 attempts · 21 goals · 2025-26No modeled markets for this player. The stats above are this player's full record.
Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.