Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Lars Eller

FLA·F#20

Played for OTT in the game shown

OTTvsBUF

Latest captured market

Apr 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 412 game sample

PTS: 21.1
SOG: 101.8
G: 8.5

A: 12.6
PPP: 1.1
HIT: 66.2
BLK: 41.3
PIM: 25.4

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 412 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 412 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 412 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.26
G: 0.10
A: 0.15
SOG: 1.24
PPP: 0.01
HIT: 0.80
BLK: 0.50
PIM: 0.31

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	68	5	10	15	0.22	67	11:27
2024-25	80	10	12	22	0.28	104	13:17
2023-24	82	15	16	31	0.38	154	15:58
2022-23	84	10	13	23	0.27	140	14:47
2021-22	72	13	18	31	0.43	116	16:07

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	4	0	0	0	0.00	4	8:54
2024-25	9	0	1	1	0.11	3	10:45
2022-23	7	0	0	0	0.00	9	14:04
2021-22	6	1	2	3	0.50	15	15:48

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	A	HIT	BLK	TOI
Apr 25	vs CARPO	0	0	1	2	8:32
Apr 23	vs CARPO	2	0	0	0	7:32
Apr 20	@ CARPO	2	0	3	1	12:24
Apr 18	@ CARPO	0	0	0	0	7:09
Apr 15	vs TOR	0	0	0	0	14:28
Apr 12	@ NJD	0	0	1	0	16:01
Apr 11	@ NYI	0	0	0	0	6:08
Apr 9	vs FLA	0	1	1	0	13:18
Apr 7	vs TBL	1	0	1	1	11:12
Apr 5	vs CAR	0	0	1	0	12:09

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	7.6	5	minus 2.6 goals above expected	48	89
2024-25	11.8	10	minus 1.8 goals above expected	62	148
2023-24	18.0	15	minus 3.0 goals above expected	77	226
2022-23	14.9	10	minus 4.9 goals above expected	73	190
2021-22	12.9	13	plus 0.1 goals above expected	67	170

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	4 goals, 10 assists, 14 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2024-25	10 goals, 11 assists, 21 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-24	10 goals, 14 assists, 24 points	4 goals, 1 assist, 5 points	1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points
2022-23	9 goals, 13 assists, 22 points	0-0-0	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2021-22	13 goals, 16 assists, 29 points	0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

89 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (22)Shot on goal (62)Goal (5)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.1

P(over)

11%

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.