Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 325 game sample- PTS
- 35.3
- SOG
- 121.0
- G
- 8.5
- A
- 26.8
- PPP
- 8.9
- HIT
- 80.0
- BLK
- 104.8
- PIM
- 47.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 325 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 325 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 325 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.43
- G
- 0.10
- A
- 0.33
- SOG
- 1.47
- PPP
- 0.11
- HIT
- 0.97
- BLK
- 1.28
- PIM
- 0.57
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 72 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 0.32 | 101 | 23:05 |
| 2024-25 | 30 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 0.57 | 46 | 24:08 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 15 | 35 | 50 | 0.61 | 135 | 25:47 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 9 | 43 | 52 | 0.64 | 145 | 26:14 |
| 2021-22 | 39 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 0.79 | 99 | 25:44 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 25:13 |
| 2024-25 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.67 | 10 | 27:12 |
| 2023-24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.60 | 6 | 27:18 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.50 | 6 | 28:14 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | vs COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23:52 |
| Apr 23 | vs COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:51 |
| Apr 21 | @ COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28:46 |
| Apr 19 | @ COLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25:21 |
| Apr 16 | @ CGY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21:39 |
| Apr 14 | @ VAN | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22:20 |
| Apr 13 | @ SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 |
| Apr 11 | vs EDM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 |
| Apr 9 | vs VAN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:20 |
| Apr 6 | vs NSH | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25:14 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.6 | 5 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 65 | 155 |
| 2024-25 | 3.4 | 4 | plus 0.6 goals above expected | 28 | 66 |
| 2023-24 | 7.8 | 15 | plus 7.2 goals above expected | 72 | 184 |
| 2022-23 | 8.9 | 9 | plus 0.1 goals above expected | 71 | 199 |
| 2021-22 | 5.0 | 7 | plus 2.0 goals above expected | 38 | 127 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 goals, 16 assists, 21 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 7 assists, 10 points | 0 goals, 6 assists, 6 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 8 goals, 22 assists, 30 points | 7 goals, 13 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 5 goals, 19 assists, 24 points | 4 goals, 24 assists, 28 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 3 goals, 15 assists, 18 points | 4 goals, 9 assists, 13 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
155 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.