Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 398 game sample- PTS
- 18.5
- SOG
- 101.5
- G
- 3.0
- A
- 15.5
- PPP
- 0.4
- HIT
- 107.6
- BLK
- 143.9
- PIM
- 69.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 398 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 398 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 398 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.22
- G
- 0.04
- A
- 0.19
- SOG
- 1.23
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.31
- BLK
- 1.76
- PIM
- 0.85
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 73 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 0.15 | 88 | 19:31 |
| 2024-25 | 71 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 0.34 | 87 | 20:47 |
| 2023-24 | 77 | 5 | 24 | 29 | 0.38 | 93 | 18:57 |
| 2022-23 | 78 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 0.22 | 100 | 20:55 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 0.22 | 128 | 21:59 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 9 | 19:41 |
| 2023-24 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 7 | 19:29 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 |
| Apr 25 | @ MINPO | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 27:25 |
| Apr 22 | @ MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 25:22 |
| Apr 20 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16:28 |
| Apr 18 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:01 |
| Apr 15 | @ BUF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21:30 |
| Apr 13 | @ TOR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20:46 |
| Apr 11 | vs NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 20:56 |
| Apr 9 | vs MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22:38 |
| Apr 7 | vs CGY | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14:30 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.4 | 1 | minus 4.4 goals above expected | 65 | 135 |
| 2024-25 | 5.6 | 6 | plus 0.4 goals above expected | 58 | 154 |
| 2023-24 | 4.1 | 5 | plus 0.9 goals above expected | 66 | 144 |
| 2022-23 | 5.2 | 1 | minus 4.2 goals above expected | 61 | 142 |
| 2021-22 | 7.8 | 1 | minus 6.8 goals above expected | 77 | 173 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1 goal, 10 assists, 11 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 5 goals, 16 assists, 21 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2023-24 | 3 goals, 24 assists, 27 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
| 2022-23 | 1 goal, 14 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 1 goal, 16 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
135 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26Markets · Feb 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.