Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 388 game sample- PTS
- 28.8
- SOG
- 120.3
- G
- 11.7
- A
- 17.1
- PPP
- 5.6
- HIT
- 71.3
- BLK
- 87.2
- PIM
- 22.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 388 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 388 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 388 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.35
- G
- 0.14
- A
- 0.21
- SOG
- 1.47
- PPP
- 0.07
- HIT
- 0.87
- BLK
- 1.07
- PIM
- 0.27
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 65 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 0.23 | 91 | 13:14 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 12 | 15 | 27 | 0.33 | 104 | 14:38 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 24 | 27 | 51 | 0.62 | 140 | 16:51 |
| 2022-23 | 62 | 22 | 16 | 38 | 0.61 | 132 | 18:11 |
| 2021-22 | 58 | 19 | 23 | 42 | 0.72 | 141 | 17:25 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2:56 |
| 2024-25 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.32 | 35 | 14:41 |
| 2023-24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.41 | 14 | 14:07 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20 | vs ANAPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:56 |
| Apr 16 | vs VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:23 |
| Apr 13 | vs COL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:47 |
| Apr 11 | @ LAK | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:08 |
| Apr 8 | @ SJS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:23 |
| Apr 7 | @ UTA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:36 |
| Apr 4 | vs VGK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:29 |
| Apr 2 | vs CHI | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12:23 |
| Mar 31 | vs SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:38 |
| Mar 28 | vs ANA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14:54 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11.0 | 3 | minus 8.0 goals above expected | 56 | 128 |
| 2024-25 | 13.5 | 12 | minus 1.5 goals above expected | 63 | 147 |
| 2023-24 | 20.1 | 24 | plus 3.9 goals above expected | 75 | 223 |
| 2022-23 | 19.6 | 22 | plus 2.4 goals above expected | 57 | 177 |
| 2021-22 | 21.0 | 19 | minus 2.0 goals above expected | 56 | 194 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3 goals, 7 assists, 10 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 9 goals, 11 assists, 20 points | 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 17 goals, 19 assists, 36 points | 5 goals, 5 assists, 10 points | 2 goals, 3 assists, 5 points |
| 2022-23 | 18 goals, 10 assists, 28 points | 4 goals, 6 assists, 10 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 13 goals, 18 assists, 31 points | 6 goals, 5 assists, 11 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
128 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.