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Victor Hedman

Victor Hedman

TBL·DJersey number #77
vsCBJ
Latest captured market
Mar 10 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 386 game sample
PTS
62.0
SOG
170.2
G
10.7
A
51.3
PPP
24.0
HIT
58.9
BLK
123.7
PIM
38.2

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 386 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 386 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 386 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.76
G
0.13
A
0.63
SOG
2.08
PPP
0.29
HIT
0.71
BLK
1.51
PIM
0.47

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2633116170.525018:52
2024-25791551660.8418123:05
2023-24781363760.9716824:48
2022-2376940490.6418523:43
2021-22822065851.0421925:05

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2024-2550330.601024:32
2023-2451671.401525:45
2022-2350330.60823:38
2021-2223316190.837724:40

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 10 lineSOG 6/10G 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Mar 19@ VAN10000104:44
Mar 17@ SEA000001017:14
Mar 14vs CAR101014018:27
Mar 12vs DET200021018:54
Mar 10vs CBJ201001022:11
Mar 8@ BUF300010020:07
Mar 7@ TOR200030020:54
Mar 5@ WPG200012014:45
Mar 3@ MIN100020016:51
Feb 28vs BUF211011216:53

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 10 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-262.71minus 1.7 goals above expected3087
2024-2513.515plus 1.5 goals above expected75304
2023-2411.713plus 1.3 goals above expected77268
2022-2311.39minus 2.3 goals above expected74284
2021-2214.520plus 5.5 goals above expected81331

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-261 goal, 10 assists, 11 points0 goals, 6 assists, 6 points0-0-0
2024-2511 goals, 29 assists, 40 points4 goals, 22 assists, 26 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-249 goals, 36 assists, 45 points4 goals, 27 assists, 31 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-237 goals, 25 assists, 32 points1 goal, 13 assists, 14 points1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points
2021-2214 goals, 33 assists, 47 points6 goals, 32 assists, 38 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

87 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (37)Shot on goal (49)Goal (1)

Markets · Mar 10

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
5%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
SOG
Shots on goal
Line
1.5
Proj
1.4
P(over)
39%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.