Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Nick Jensen

ANA·D#4

Played for OTT in the game shown

OTT@PIT

Latest captured market

Feb 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 376 game sample

PTS: 22.1
SOG: 69.9
G: 4.2

A: 17.9
PPP: 0.1
HIT: 65.9
BLK: 102.6
PIM: 20.2

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 376 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 376 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 376 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.27
G: 0.05
A: 0.22
SOG: 0.85
PPP: 0.00
HIT: 0.80
BLK: 1.25
PIM: 0.24

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	61	4	13	17	0.28	36	17:01
2024-25	71	3	18	21	0.30	77	20:13
2023-24	78	1	13	14	0.18	71	19:38
2022-23	77	5	24	29	0.38	109	20:37
2021-22	76	5	16	21	0.28	88	19:21

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	SOG	TOI
2024-25	6	3	20:56
2023-24	1	1	21:03
2021-22	6	6	20:16

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Feb 2 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	A	HIT	BLK	TOI
Mar 11	vs MTL	0	0	1	1	14:28
Mar 9	@ VAN	1	0	1	2	17:45
Mar 7	@ SEA	0	1	1	0	20:32
Mar 5	@ CGY	1	0	0	1	16:54
Mar 3	@ EDM	1	1	1	0	20:26
Feb 28	@ TOR	1	0	1	0	16:20
Feb 26	vs DET	0	0	0	2	19:35
Feb 5	@ PHI	0	0	1	2	21:23
Feb 3	@ CAR	0	0	0	1	17:43
Feb 2	@ PIT	0	0	0	1	14:14

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	2.0	4	plus 2.0 goals above expected	44	72
2024-25	3.2	3	minus 0.2 goals above expected	54	122
2023-24	3.2	1	minus 2.2 goals above expected	59	119
2022-23	6.2	5	minus 1.2 goals above expected	69	161
2021-22	4.3	5	plus 0.7 goals above expected	58	141

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	4 goals, 13 assists, 17 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0-0-0
2024-25	3 goals, 18 assists, 21 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-24	1 goal, 13 assists, 14 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-23	5 goals, 23 assists, 28 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2021-22	5 goals, 16 assists, 21 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

72 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (36)Shot on goal (32)Goal (4)

Markets · Feb 2

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.