Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 357 game sample- PTS
- 51.5
- SOG
- 161.6
- G
- 20.0
- A
- 31.5
- PPP
- 8.6
- HIT
- 60.9
- BLK
- 38.0
- PIM
- 42.8
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 357 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 357 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 357 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.63
- G
- 0.24
- A
- 0.38
- SOG
- 1.97
- PPP
- 0.10
- HIT
- 0.74
- BLK
- 0.46
- PIM
- 0.52
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 80 | 18 | 30 | 48 | 0.60 | 137 | 14:32 |
| 2024-25 | 77 | 18 | 24 | 42 | 0.55 | 144 | 15:10 |
| 2023-24 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.40 | 20 | 16:20 |
| 2022-23 | 61 | 16 | 20 | 36 | 0.59 | 150 | 15:56 |
| 2021-22 | 81 | 20 | 41 | 61 | 0.75 | 217 | 16:25 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 1.00 | 55 | 16:29 |
| 2024-25 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.40 | 30 | 14:50 |
| 2022-23 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1.14 | 12 | 14:29 |
| 2021-22 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.57 | 14 | 15:48 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:55 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16:33 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22:57 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17:09 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:33 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20:06 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 20.7 | 18 | minus 2.7 goals above expected | 72 | 209 |
| 2024-25 | 15.9 | 18 | plus 2.1 goals above expected | 74 | 210 |
| 2023-24 | 2.0 | 2 | plus 0.0 goals above expected | 10 | 31 |
| 2022-23 | 17.8 | 16 | minus 1.8 goals above expected | 59 | 197 |
| 2021-22 | 22.6 | 20 | minus 2.6 goals above expected | 78 | 261 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 15 goals, 26 assists, 41 points | 3 goals, 4 assists, 7 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 13 goals, 20 assists, 33 points | 5 goals, 4 assists, 9 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 12 goals, 16 assists, 28 points | 4 goals, 4 assists, 8 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 13 goals, 32 assists, 45 points | 7 goals, 9 assists, 16 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
209 attempts · 18 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.