Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 312 game sample- PTS
- 18.2
- SOG
- 85.2
- G
- 6.4
- A
- 11.8
- PPP
- 0.5
- HIT
- 126.3
- BLK
- 37.5
- PIM
- 33.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 312 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 312 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 312 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.22
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.14
- SOG
- 1.03
- PPP
- 0.01
- HIT
- 1.54
- BLK
- 0.45
- PIM
- 0.41
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 0.21 | 61 | 11:53 |
| 2024-25 | 63 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 0.27 | 63 | 11:34 |
| 2023-24 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 0.27 | 88 | 14:29 |
| 2022-23 | 53 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 0.19 | 53 | 11:48 |
| 2021-22 | 58 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 0.34 | 77 | 11:56 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 11:55 |
| 2024-25 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 16 | 11:02 |
| 2021-22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | 7 | 7:12 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:12 |
| Apr 28 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:37 |
| Apr 25 | @ MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:52 |
| Apr 22 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 |
| Apr 20 | vs MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:51 |
| Apr 18 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:03 |
| Apr 13 | @ TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:34 |
| Apr 11 | vs NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:43 |
| Apr 9 | vs MIN | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9:56 |
| Apr 7 | vs CGY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:25 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.0 | 4 | minus 3.0 goals above expected | 49 | 102 |
| 2024-25 | 6.4 | 6 | minus 0.4 goals above expected | 44 | 86 |
| 2023-24 | 9.4 | 8 | minus 1.4 goals above expected | 39 | 118 |
| 2022-23 | 5.5 | 2 | minus 3.5 goals above expected | 40 | 72 |
| 2021-22 | 7.5 | 10 | plus 2.5 goals above expected | 47 | 96 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 goals, 11 assists, 15 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 9 assists, 13 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points |
| 2023-24 | 7 goals, 4 assists, 11 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 2 goals, 7 assists, 9 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 8 goals, 10 assists, 18 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
Shot locations
102 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.