Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Mike Reilly

CAR·D#6

Club as of this player’s most recent priced game

vsMTL

Latest captured market

Jan 1 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 213 game sample

PTS: 21.6
SOG: 136.2
G: 3.4

A: 18.2
PPP: 1.9
HIT: 45.2
BLK: 71.5
PIM: 42.2

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 213 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 213 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 213 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.26
G: 0.04
A: 0.22
SOG: 1.66
PPP: 0.02
HIT: 0.54
BLK: 0.87
PIM: 0.52

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	42	1	8	9	0.21	63	14:58
2024-25	18	0	2	2	0.11	31	15:10
2023-24	61	6	18	24	0.39	126	17:10
2022-23	10	0	1	1	0.10	12	16:44
2021-22	70	4	13	17	0.24	135	18:58

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	2	0	2	2	1.00	2	12:55
2023-24	5	1	1	2	0.40	12	18:57
2021-22	5	0	0	0	0.00	7	15:47

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Jan 1 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	A	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
May 4	vs PHIPO	2	0	1	0	0	14:21
May 2	vs PHIPO	0	2	0	0	2	11:28
Apr 14	@ NYI	1	0	0	2	2	22:10
Apr 13	@ PHI	0	0	0	0	0	12:13
Apr 11	@ UTA	2	0	1	2	0	10:31
Apr 9	@ CHI	3	0	0	1	2	15:35
Mar 24	@ MTL	1	0	0	1	0	12:22
Mar 22	@ PIT	1	0	0	0	4	11:09
Mar 20	@ TOR	1	0	0	0	0	9:07
Mar 18	vs PIT	2	0	0	0	0	13:34

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Jan 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	2.5	1	minus 1.5 goals above expected	38	95
2024-25	1.4	0	minus 1.4 goals above expected	17	51
2023-24	5.1	6	plus 0.9 goals above expected	57	184
2022-23	0.6	0	minus 0.6 goals above expected	8	19
2021-22	6.6	4	minus 2.6 goals above expected	65	178

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	0 goals, 8 assists, 8 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2024-25	0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0-0-0
2023-24	5 goals, 13 assists, 18 points	0 goals, 5 assists, 5 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2022-23	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-22	3 goals, 10 assists, 13 points	0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point

Shot locations

95 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (32)Shot on goal (62)Goal (1)

Markets · Jan 1

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.1

P(over)

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.