Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 336 game sample- PTS
- 15.2
- SOG
- 75.6
- G
- 2.8
- A
- 12.4
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 93.6
- BLK
- 113.0
- PIM
- 70.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 336 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 336 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 336 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.18
- G
- 0.03
- A
- 0.15
- SOG
- 0.92
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.14
- BLK
- 1.38
- PIM
- 0.86
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 80 | 2 | 13 | 15 | 0.19 | 71 | 16:28 |
| 2024-25 | 66 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0.14 | 51 | 17:00 |
| 2023-24 | 41 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0.12 | 36 | 18:46 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 0.29 | 119 | 21:02 |
| 2021-22 | 61 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 0.30 | 80 | 19:46 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 | 10 | 21:26 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14 | vs CAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:45 |
| Apr 12 | vs MTL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 |
| Apr 11 | vs OTT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14:02 |
| Apr 9 | vs TOR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 |
| Apr 4 | @ CAR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 |
| Apr 3 | vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 |
| Mar 31 | @ BUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12:01 |
| Mar 30 | vs PIT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14:41 |
| Mar 28 | vs FLA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 |
| Mar 26 | vs DAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:24 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2.6 | 2 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 59 | 116 |
| 2024-25 | 2.6 | 3 | plus 0.4 goals above expected | 43 | 87 |
| 2023-24 | 1.2 | 0 | minus 1.2 goals above expected | 26 | 53 |
| 2022-23 | 4.9 | 6 | plus 1.1 goals above expected | 69 | 173 |
| 2021-22 | 4.1 | 3 | minus 1.1 goals above expected | 52 | 125 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2 goals, 13 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 2 goals, 6 assists, 8 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 0 goals, 5 assists, 5 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 6 goals, 18 assists, 24 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 3 goals, 14 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
116 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26Markets · Mar 1
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.