ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026
all players
William Karlsson

William Karlsson

VGK·FJersey number #71
vsANA
Latest captured market
Nov 8 · 10:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 341 game sample
PTS
50.3
SOG
169.8
G
20.4
A
29.9
PPP
8.2
HIT
37.3
BLK
60.4
PIM
15.1

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 341 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 341 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 341 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.62
G
0.25
A
0.36
SOG
2.08
PPP
0.10
HIT
0.45
BLK
0.74
PIM
0.18

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26144370.503015:09
2024-2553920290.5511917:01
2023-24703030600.8617517:36
2022-23821439530.6516117:28
2021-22671223350.5213518:17

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26153690.602417:12
2024-25113360.551718:34
2023-2470220.29915:56
2022-2322116170.774517:22

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Nov 8 lineSOG 6/10G 3/10A 4/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Jun 11@ CARPO10000008:43
Jun 9vs CARPO111010016:53
Jun 6vs CARPO201021024:09
Jun 4@ CARPO200001019:07
Jun 2@ CARPO210001018:05
May 26vs COLPO400000017:34
May 24vs COLPO211001017:22
May 22@ COLPO200010017:42
May 20@ COLPO100014021:11
May 14@ ANAPO001000217:32

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Nov 8 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-263.84plus 0.2 goals above expected1238
2024-2513.99minus 4.9 goals above expected53182
2023-2422.530plus 7.5 goals above expected69238
2022-2322.114minus 8.1 goals above expected79235
2021-2218.512minus 6.5 goals above expected65192

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-262 goals, 3 assists, 5 points1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2024-257 goals, 13 assists, 20 points0 goals, 6 assists, 6 points2 goals, 1 assist, 3 points
2023-2422 goals, 20 assists, 42 points7 goals, 8 assists, 15 points1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points
2022-2311 goals, 29 assists, 40 points1 goal, 7 assists, 8 points2 goals, 3 assists, 5 points
2021-229 goals, 21 assists, 30 points1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points

Shot locations

38 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (8)Shot on goal (26)Goal (4)

Markets · Nov 8

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.3
P(over)
28%
A
Assists
Line
0.5
Proj
0.3
P(over)
24%
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
10%
SOG
Shots on goal
Line
1.5
Proj
2.1
P(over)
59%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.