Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 423 game sample- PTS
- 25.5
- SOG
- 114.2
- G
- 6.8
- A
- 18.7
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 127.0
- BLK
- 157.4
- PIM
- 41.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 423 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 423 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 423 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.31
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.23
- SOG
- 1.39
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.55
- BLK
- 1.93
- PIM
- 0.51
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 0.30 | 106 | 21:22 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 7 | 21 | 28 | 0.34 | 112 | 21:11 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 0.22 | 130 | 22:56 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 0.40 | 143 | 23:38 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 0.30 | 119 | 22:17 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.29 | 26 | 25:11 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | @ COL | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21:54 |
| Apr 15 | @ VGK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22:12 |
| Apr 13 | vs LAK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:16 |
| Apr 11 | vs CGY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 |
| Apr 9 | vs VGK | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:23 |
| Apr 7 | @ MIN | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:18 |
| Apr 6 | @ WPG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19:25 |
| Apr 4 | vs CHI | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 22:02 |
| Apr 2 | vs UTA | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 21:07 |
| Mar 31 | @ EDM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:32 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3.9 | 7 | plus 3.1 goals above expected | 63 | 149 |
| 2024-25 | 6.3 | 7 | plus 0.7 goals above expected | 73 | 180 |
| 2023-24 | 6.6 | 4 | minus 2.6 goals above expected | 73 | 187 |
| 2022-23 | 6.7 | 8 | plus 1.3 goals above expected | 76 | 208 |
| 2021-22 | 5.0 | 8 | plus 3.0 goals above expected | 75 | 174 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7 goals, 18 assists, 25 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 7 goals, 21 assists, 28 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 4 goals, 13 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 7 goals, 25 assists, 32 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 8 goals, 16 assists, 24 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
149 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.