Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Stefan Noesen

NJD·F#11

vsUTA

Latest captured market

Jan 3 · 3:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 308 game sample

PTS: 31.8
SOG: 135.3
G: 15.2

A: 16.6
PPP: 11.5
HIT: 117.3
BLK: 28.1
PIM: 60.0

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 308 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 308 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 308 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.39
G: 0.18
A: 0.20
SOG: 1.65
PPP: 0.14
HIT: 1.43
BLK: 0.34
PIM: 0.73

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	38	3	4	7	0.18	52	11:45
2024-25	78	22	19	41	0.53	165	15:56
2023-24	81	14	23	37	0.46	111	11:52
2022-23	78	13	23	36	0.46	134	12:20
2021-22	2	0	0	0	0.00	4	14:20

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2024-25	5	1	1	2	0.40	7	16:30
2023-24	11	4	0	4	0.36	11	9:22
2022-23	15	4	4	8	0.53	24	17:02

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Jan 3 lineG 1/10PPP 2/10

Date	Opp	SOG	G	A	PPP	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
Jan 8	@ PIT	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	8:16
Jan 6	@ NYI	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:16
Jan 4	vs CAR	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	11:27
Jan 3	vs UTA	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	11:46
Dec 31	@ CBJ	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	6:53
Dec 30	@ TOR	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	14:11
Dec 27	vs WSH	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	8:45
Dec 23	@ NYI	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	8:57
Dec 21	vs BUF	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:36
Dec 19	@ UTA	3	1	0	1	0	2	0	15:25

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Jan 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	6.3	3	minus 3.3 goals above expected	35	74
2024-25	24.5	22	minus 2.5 goals above expected	74	248
2023-24	17.5	14	minus 3.5 goals above expected	68	186
2022-23	17.3	12	minus 5.3 goals above expected	69	207
2021-22	0.5	0	minus 0.5 goals above expected	2	9

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points	1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points	0-0-0
2024-25	11 goals, 15 assists, 26 points	11 goals, 4 assists, 15 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-24	11 goals, 15 assists, 26 points	3 goals, 8 assists, 11 points	0-0-0
2022-23	5 goals, 15 assists, 20 points	7 goals, 8 assists, 15 points	0-0-0
2021-22	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0-0-0	0-0-0

Shot locations

74 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (22)Shot on goal (49)Goal (3)

Markets · Jan 3

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.2

P(over)

20%

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.2

P(over)

17%

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.