Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 261 game sample- PTS
- 24.6
- SOG
- 80.5
- G
- 12.5
- A
- 12.1
- PPP
- 1.4
- HIT
- 54.1
- BLK
- 51.2
- PIM
- 32.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 261 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 261 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 261 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.30
- G
- 0.15
- A
- 0.15
- SOG
- 0.98
- PPP
- 0.02
- HIT
- 0.66
- BLK
- 0.62
- PIM
- 0.39
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 68 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 0.31 | 63 | 11:09 |
| 2024-25 | 60 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 0.28 | 66 | 12:34 |
| 2023-24 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 0.47 | 48 | 12:40 |
| 2022-23 | 50 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 0.24 | 57 | 12:26 |
| 2021-22 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0.26 | 14 | 13:39 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.26 | 14 | 11:36 |
| 2024-25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 6 | 11:37 |
| 2023-24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 5 | 10:05 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:50 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:19 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:38 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9:47 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10:33 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:28 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10:41 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12.3 | 11 | minus 1.3 goals above expected | 57 | 105 |
| 2024-25 | 9.4 | 12 | plus 2.6 goals above expected | 46 | 100 |
| 2023-24 | 7.3 | 7 | minus 0.3 goals above expected | 28 | 73 |
| 2022-23 | 6.6 | 7 | plus 0.4 goals above expected | 38 | 81 |
| 2021-22 | 2.0 | 2 | plus 0.0 goals above expected | 14 | 22 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 goals, 8 assists, 19 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 12 goals, 5 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 7 assists, 13 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 4 goals, 5 assists, 9 points | 0-0-0 | 3 goals, 0 assists, 3 points |
| 2021-22 | 2 goals, 3 assists, 5 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
105 attempts · 11 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.