Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 367 game sample- PTS
- 16.1
- SOG
- 92.1
- G
- 7.5
- A
- 8.6
- PPP
- 0.3
- HIT
- 195.6
- BLK
- 50.6
- PIM
- 35.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 367 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 367 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 367 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.19
- G
- 0.09
- A
- 0.10
- SOG
- 1.12
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 2.39
- BLK
- 0.62
- PIM
- 0.44
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 74 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 0.27 | 89 | 14:46 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.07 | 83 | 11:40 |
| 2023-24 | 63 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 0.22 | 73 | 11:51 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 0.23 | 114 | 12:59 |
| 2021-22 | 56 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 0.32 | 92 | 14:47 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 11:41 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 10:56 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14:00 |
| May 1 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:44 |
| Apr 29 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:21 |
| Apr 26 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:46 |
| Apr 24 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:18 |
| Apr 21 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:54 |
| Apr 19 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:42 |
| Apr 15 | vs NYR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 |
| Apr 13 | vs DET | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 |
| Apr 9 | @ MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12:25 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11.6 | 9 | minus 2.6 goals above expected | 63 | 141 |
| 2024-25 | 8.8 | 2 | minus 6.8 goals above expected | 66 | 123 |
| 2023-24 | 6.9 | 8 | plus 1.1 goals above expected | 48 | 105 |
| 2022-23 | 13.8 | 10 | minus 3.8 goals above expected | 71 | 167 |
| 2021-22 | 8.6 | 10 | plus 1.4 goals above expected | 48 | 120 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9 goals, 11 assists, 20 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 8 goals, 6 assists, 14 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 10 goals, 7 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 7 goals, 7 assists, 14 points | 3 goals, 1 assist, 4 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
141 attempts · 9 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.