Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 410 game sample- PTS
- 58.8
- SOG
- 192.1
- G
- 25.8
- A
- 33.0
- PPP
- 24.7
- HIT
- 123.8
- BLK
- 49.4
- PIM
- 31.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 410 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 410 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 410 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.72
- G
- 0.32
- A
- 0.40
- SOG
- 2.35
- PPP
- 0.30
- HIT
- 1.51
- BLK
- 0.60
- PIM
- 0.39
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 24 | 34 | 58 | 0.71 | 202 | 17:02 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 32 | 29 | 61 | 0.84 | 177 | 17:07 |
| 2023-24 | 54 | 17 | 21 | 38 | 0.70 | 124 | 20:29 |
| 2022-23 | 79 | 22 | 41 | 63 | 0.80 | 183 | 19:17 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 30 | 34 | 64 | 0.78 | 205 | 19:56 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 0.64 | 39 | 13:35 |
| 2024-25 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0.45 | 28 | 18:17 |
| 2023-24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 14 | 18:33 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | vs CARPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 |
| Jun 11 | @ CARPO | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:26 |
| Jun 9 | vs CARPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 |
| Jun 6 | vs CARPO | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:20 |
| Jun 4 | @ CARPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16:19 |
| Jun 2 | @ CARPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 |
| May 26 | vs COLPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 |
| May 24 | vs COLPO | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 |
| May 22 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:23 |
| May 20 | @ COLPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:45 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 35.2 | 24 | minus 11.2 goals above expected | 77 | 321 |
| 2024-25 | 29.2 | 32 | plus 2.8 goals above expected | 68 | 265 |
| 2023-24 | 16.2 | 17 | plus 0.8 goals above expected | 53 | 177 |
| 2022-23 | 27.3 | 22 | minus 5.3 goals above expected | 76 | 256 |
| 2021-22 | 27.9 | 30 | plus 2.1 goals above expected | 81 | 281 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 10 goals, 22 assists, 32 points | 14 goals, 12 assists, 26 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 18 goals, 20 assists, 38 points | 14 goals, 9 assists, 23 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 10 goals, 16 assists, 26 points | 6 goals, 5 assists, 11 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 16 goals, 25 assists, 41 points | 6 goals, 16 assists, 22 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 24 goals, 23 assists, 47 points | 6 goals, 10 assists, 16 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
321 attempts · 24 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.