Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 374 game sample- PTS
- 23.0
- SOG
- 88.3
- G
- 1.1
- A
- 21.9
- PPP
- 6.3
- HIT
- 43.3
- BLK
- 81.4
- PIM
- 32.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 374 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 374 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 374 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.28
- G
- 0.01
- A
- 0.27
- SOG
- 1.07
- PPP
- 0.08
- HIT
- 0.52
- BLK
- 0.99
- PIM
- 0.39
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 69 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0.17 | 68 | 16:58 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 1 | 39 | 40 | 0.49 | 94 | 20:37 |
| 2023-24 | 63 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0.17 | 59 | 17:36 |
| 2022-23 | 75 | 4 | 22 | 26 | 0.35 | 102 | 17:14 |
| 2021-22 | 73 | 4 | 20 | 24 | 0.33 | 118 | 18:44 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 18:10 |
| 2022-23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 13:00 |
| 2021-22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 18:10 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22 | vs NSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Mar 20 | vs COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19:59 |
| Mar 19 | @ MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12:53 |
| Mar 14 | @ VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:25 |
| Mar 12 | @ UTA | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:07 |
| Mar 9 | vs UTA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:30 |
| Mar 8 | @ DAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:11 |
| Mar 6 | vs VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:38 |
| Mar 3 | @ WPG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:55 |
| Mar 1 | @ UTA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:42 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 2.4 | 0 | minus 2.4 goals above expected | 54 | 118 |
| 2024-25 | 4.3 | 1 | minus 3.3 goals above expected | 65 | 160 |
| 2023-24 | 2.6 | 2 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 45 | 98 |
| 2022-23 | 4.4 | 4 | minus 0.4 goals above expected | 70 | 149 |
| 2021-22 | 4.6 | 4 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 65 | 154 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 0 goals, 8 assists, 8 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 1 goal, 24 assists, 25 points | 0 goals, 15 assists, 15 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 2 goals, 9 assists, 11 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 4 goals, 22 assists, 26 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 4 goals, 15 assists, 19 points | 0 goals, 5 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
118 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26Markets · Mar 1
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.