Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 412 game sample- PTS
- 59.7
- SOG
- 150.7
- G
- 13.9
- A
- 45.7
- PPP
- 29.1
- HIT
- 45.9
- BLK
- 83.1
- PIM
- 39.8
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 412 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 412 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 412 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.73
- G
- 0.17
- A
- 0.56
- SOG
- 1.84
- PPP
- 0.36
- HIT
- 0.56
- BLK
- 1.02
- PIM
- 0.49
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 55 | 13 | 37 | 50 | 0.91 | 116 | 19:14 |
| 2024-25 | 70 | 7 | 38 | 45 | 0.64 | 122 | 18:31 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 10 | 46 | 56 | 0.69 | 139 | 19:05 |
| 2022-23 | 75 | 13 | 28 | 41 | 0.55 | 155 | 20:49 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 14 | 37 | 51 | 0.62 | 151 | 22:11 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0.63 | 26 | 17:53 |
| 2024-25 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0.60 | 24 | 18:56 |
| 2022-23 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.20 | 24 | 18:00 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:02 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22:43 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:30 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:53 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16:08 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:56 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:45 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8.8 | 13 | plus 4.2 goals above expected | 52 | 199 |
| 2024-25 | 8.2 | 7 | minus 1.2 goals above expected | 67 | 206 |
| 2023-24 | 9.1 | 10 | plus 0.9 goals above expected | 72 | 202 |
| 2022-23 | 11.0 | 13 | plus 2.0 goals above expected | 73 | 230 |
| 2021-22 | 9.1 | 14 | plus 4.9 goals above expected | 78 | 216 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7 goals, 25 assists, 32 points | 6 goals, 12 assists, 18 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 3 goals, 14 assists, 17 points | 4 goals, 24 assists, 28 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 8 goals, 19 assists, 27 points | 2 goals, 27 assists, 29 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 6 goals, 18 assists, 24 points | 5 goals, 10 assists, 15 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 12 goals, 20 assists, 32 points | 2 goals, 17 assists, 19 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
199 attempts · 13 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.