Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 491 game sample- PTS
- 18.2
- SOG
- 102.3
- G
- 3.4
- A
- 14.8
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 40.6
- BLK
- 114.0
- PIM
- 33.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 491 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 491 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 491 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.22
- G
- 0.04
- A
- 0.18
- SOG
- 1.25
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 0.49
- BLK
- 1.39
- PIM
- 0.41
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 83 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 0.14 | 95 | 18:58 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 0.30 | 135 | 20:32 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 0.20 | 94 | 15:23 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 0.24 | 114 | 17:31 |
| 2021-22 | 74 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 0.28 | 92 | 17:45 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.38 | 12 | 20:38 |
| 2024-25 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.23 | 25 | 23:25 |
| 2023-24 | 25 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0.32 | 21 | 16:30 |
| 2022-23 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | 19 | 16:22 |
| 2021-22 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0.31 | 18 | 17:06 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 |
| May 24 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:04 |
| May 22 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20:07 |
| May 20 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:06 |
| May 13 | vs MINPO | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26:54 |
| May 11 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:42 |
| May 9 | @ MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:25 |
| May 5 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:04 |
| May 3 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25:01 |
| Apr 26 | @ LAKPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 20:28 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3.5 | 1 | minus 2.5 goals above expected | 65 | 136 |
| 2024-25 | 6.4 | 7 | plus 0.6 goals above expected | 75 | 195 |
| 2023-24 | 3.7 | 3 | minus 0.7 goals above expected | 59 | 130 |
| 2022-23 | 3.8 | 3 | minus 0.8 goals above expected | 63 | 143 |
| 2021-22 | 3.4 | 5 | plus 1.6 goals above expected | 58 | 119 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 1 goal, 11 assists, 12 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 7 goals, 18 assists, 25 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 3 goals, 12 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 3 goals, 14 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points |
| 2021-22 | 5 goals, 15 assists, 20 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
136 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 1
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.