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Liam O'Brien

Liam O'Brien

UTA·FJersey number #38
vsVAN
Latest captured market
Feb 2 · 9:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 239 game sample
PTS
11.2
SOG
76.7
G
4.8
A
6.4
PPP
0.1
HIT
261.6
BLK
34.8
PIM
126.2

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 239 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 239 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 239 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.13
G
0.06
A
0.08
SOG
0.93
PPP
0.00
HIT
3.21
BLK
0.42
PIM
1.55

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26383140.11359:09
2024-25280220.07349:18
2023-247559140.19729:44
2022-235638110.203911:26
2021-22392130.08369:29

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2630110.3307:35

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Feb 2 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 27vs VGKPO00002008:11
Apr 24vs VGKPO00104127:41
Apr 21@ VGKPO00005206:54
Apr 16vs STL100011012:06
Apr 14vs WPG10003108:47
Apr 12@ CGY200040010:29
Apr 11vs CAR20004008:46
Apr 9vs NSH20004008:39
Apr 4@ VAN110061010:21
Feb 4vs DET10004008:10

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-264.83minus 1.8 goals above expected2966
2024-254.10minus 4.1 goals above expected2253
2023-248.55minus 3.5 goals above expected53103
2022-234.43minus 1.4 goals above expected3356
2021-224.32minus 2.3 goals above expected2651

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-263 goals, 1 assist, 4 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0
2024-250 goals, 2 assists, 2 points0-0-00-0-0
2023-245 goals, 9 assists, 14 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0
2022-233 goals, 8 assists, 11 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-222 goals, 1 assist, 3 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-0

Shot locations

66 attempts · 3 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (31)Shot on goal (32)Goal (3)

Markets · Feb 2

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
10%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.