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Scott Sabourin

Scott Sabourin

TBL·FJersey number #46
vsBUF
Latest captured market
Feb 3 · 7:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 39 game sample
PTS
14.9
SOG
36.3
G
3.1
A
11.8
PPP
0.3
HIT
199.3
BLK
34.3
PIM
252.3

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 39 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 39 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 39 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.17
G
0.03
A
0.14
SOG
0.40
PPP
0.00
HIT
2.47
BLK
0.40
PIM
3.16

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26261450.19117:57
2024-2510000.00010:27
2023-2430000.0039:17
2021-2270220.2947:35

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-2620000.0006:02

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Feb 3 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 24@ MTLPO00001003:44
Apr 21vs MTLPO00005028:20
Apr 15vs NYR101020011:27
Apr 13vs DET00003108:56
Apr 11@ BOS00001009:33
Apr 6@ BUF00005005:58
Mar 31vs MTL00003029:05
Mar 29vs NSH00002025:54
Mar 28vs OTT10003005:50
Mar 24vs MIN00003059:11

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-262.01minus 1.0 goals above expected1427
2023-240.40minus 0.4 goals above expected23
2021-220.70minus 0.7 goals above expected59

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-261 goal, 4 assists, 5 points0-0-00-0-0
2023-240 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0
2021-220 goals, 2 assists, 2 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

27 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (16)Shot on goal (10)Goal (1)

Markets · Feb 3

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
10%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
4%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.