Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 410 game sample- PTS
- 22.7
- SOG
- 88.3
- G
- 5.3
- A
- 17.4
- PPP
- 3.1
- HIT
- 80.7
- BLK
- 90.4
- PIM
- 22.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 410 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 410 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 410 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.28
- G
- 0.06
- A
- 0.21
- SOG
- 1.07
- PPP
- 0.04
- HIT
- 0.98
- BLK
- 1.10
- PIM
- 0.27
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 0.27 | 86 | 19:42 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 0.24 | 70 | 16:32 |
| 2023-24 | 63 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 0.22 | 75 | 16:49 |
| 2022-23 | 71 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 0.27 | 101 | 18:28 |
| 2021-22 | 77 | 4 | 28 | 32 | 0.42 | 117 | 20:13 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 8 | 21:39 |
| 2024-25 | 23 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0.52 | 26 | 16:16 |
| 2023-24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 4 | 15:13 |
| 2022-23 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.40 | 10 | 21:24 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 |
| Apr 29 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26:36 |
| Apr 27 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27:29 |
| Apr 24 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 18:18 |
| Apr 21 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:08 |
| Apr 19 | @ VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20:50 |
| Apr 16 | vs STL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 |
| Apr 14 | vs WPG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:16 |
| Apr 12 | @ CGY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:53 |
| Apr 11 | vs CAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:40 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.0 | 5 | plus 0.0 goals above expected | 65 | 145 |
| 2024-25 | 3.7 | 5 | plus 1.3 goals above expected | 60 | 122 |
| 2023-24 | 3.4 | 2 | minus 1.4 goals above expected | 50 | 112 |
| 2022-23 | 6.4 | 7 | plus 0.6 goals above expected | 58 | 157 |
| 2021-22 | 6.6 | 4 | minus 2.6 goals above expected | 67 | 172 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5 goals, 17 assists, 22 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 5 goals, 10 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 9 assists, 10 points | 1 goal, 3 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 4 goals, 10 assists, 14 points | 3 goals, 2 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 3 goals, 17 assists, 20 points | 1 goal, 10 assists, 11 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
145 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.