Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 414 game sample- PTS
- 33.2
- SOG
- 133.6
- G
- 17.4
- A
- 15.8
- PPP
- 5.4
- HIT
- 116.8
- BLK
- 39.5
- PIM
- 40.5
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 414 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 414 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 414 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.40
- G
- 0.21
- A
- 0.19
- SOG
- 1.63
- PPP
- 0.07
- HIT
- 1.43
- BLK
- 0.48
- PIM
- 0.49
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 51 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 0.29 | 68 | 13:41 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 22 | 19 | 41 | 0.54 | 141 | 16:26 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 24 | 22 | 46 | 0.56 | 153 | 17:16 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 0.40 | 120 | 16:10 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 16 | 16 | 32 | 0.40 | 166 | 16:31 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 7 | 11:19 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | 12 | 16:35 |
| 2023-24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | 14 | 17:13 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 8 | 16:37 |
| 2021-22 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0.39 | 44 | 18:18 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:38 |
| May 1 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:25 |
| Apr 26 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:33 |
| Apr 24 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:58 |
| Apr 21 | vs MTLPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13:32 |
| Apr 19 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 13:47 |
| Apr 15 | vs NYR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:47 |
| Apr 13 | vs DET | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:00 |
| Apr 11 | @ BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:58 |
| Apr 9 | @ MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7:38 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9.9 | 7 | minus 2.9 goals above expected | 44 | 112 |
| 2024-25 | 17.5 | 22 | plus 4.5 goals above expected | 69 | 196 |
| 2023-24 | 20.1 | 24 | plus 3.9 goals above expected | 79 | 222 |
| 2022-23 | 17.4 | 17 | minus 0.4 goals above expected | 72 | 177 |
| 2021-22 | 18.4 | 16 | minus 2.4 goals above expected | 75 | 240 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 7 assists, 13 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 20 goals, 15 assists, 35 points | 2 goals, 3 assists, 5 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 15 goals, 17 assists, 32 points | 9 goals, 5 assists, 14 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 12 goals, 15 assists, 27 points | 4 goals, 0 assists, 4 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 13 goals, 15 assists, 28 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
Shot locations
112 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.