Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 349 game sample- PTS
- 25.8
- SOG
- 97.4
- G
- 12.1
- A
- 13.6
- PPP
- 0.5
- HIT
- 123.2
- BLK
- 69.4
- PIM
- 34.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 349 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 349 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 349 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.31
- G
- 0.15
- A
- 0.17
- SOG
- 1.18
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 1.50
- BLK
- 0.85
- PIM
- 0.41
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 64 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 0.27 | 73 | 15:32 |
| 2024-25 | 59 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 0.27 | 56 | 15:42 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 22 | 13 | 35 | 0.43 | 126 | 16:34 |
| 2022-23 | 78 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 0.38 | 114 | 15:56 |
| 2021-22 | 62 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0.18 | 66 | 13:02 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.75 | 5 | 12:14 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | @ ANAPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:07 |
| Apr 28 | vs ANAPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 |
| Apr 26 | @ ANAPO | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:29 |
| Apr 20 | vs ANAPO | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12:01 |
| Apr 8 | @ SJS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:06 |
| Apr 7 | @ UTA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 |
| Apr 4 | vs VGK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 |
| Apr 2 | vs CHI | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:11 |
| Mar 31 | vs SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:40 |
| Mar 28 | vs ANA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:05 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8.7 | 7 | minus 1.7 goals above expected | 53 | 121 |
| 2024-25 | 7.7 | 7 | minus 0.7 goals above expected | 48 | 94 |
| 2023-24 | 12.8 | 22 | plus 9.2 goals above expected | 71 | 179 |
| 2022-23 | 13.5 | 9 | minus 4.5 goals above expected | 71 | 155 |
| 2021-22 | 8.8 | 5 | minus 3.8 goals above expected | 52 | 98 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 9 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points |
| 2024-25 | 7 goals, 9 assists, 16 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 20 goals, 13 assists, 33 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 8 goals, 17 assists, 25 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points |
| 2021-22 | 5 goals, 6 assists, 11 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
121 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.