Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 330 game sample- PTS
- 20.2
- SOG
- 99.8
- G
- 7.8
- A
- 12.3
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 249.5
- BLK
- 26.1
- PIM
- 25.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 330 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 330 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 330 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.24
- G
- 0.10
- A
- 0.15
- SOG
- 1.21
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 3.06
- BLK
- 0.31
- PIM
- 0.31
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 0.26 | 80 | 10:45 |
| 2024-25 | 43 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 0.26 | 48 | 11:44 |
| 2023-24 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0.21 | 65 | 11:10 |
| 2022-23 | 56 | 16 | 9 | 25 | 0.45 | 118 | 12:35 |
| 2021-22 | 63 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 0.32 | 120 | 11:37 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.21 | 15 | 10:01 |
| 2024-25 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 23 | 11:40 |
| 2023-24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 9 | 10:43 |
| 2022-23 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.33 | 16 | 9:59 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:26 |
| Jun 11 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:48 |
| Jun 9 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:23 |
| Jun 6 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:51 |
| Jun 4 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8:49 |
| Jun 2 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 |
| May 29 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 |
| May 27 | @ MTLPO | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:27 |
| May 25 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 |
| May 23 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:39 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 10.1 | 7 | minus 3.1 goals above expected | 57 | 131 |
| 2024-25 | 7.4 | 4 | minus 3.4 goals above expected | 37 | 81 |
| 2023-24 | 7.7 | 6 | minus 1.7 goals above expected | 34 | 97 |
| 2022-23 | 14.1 | 16 | plus 1.9 goals above expected | 53 | 143 |
| 2021-22 | 13.6 | 9 | minus 4.6 goals above expected | 53 | 162 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7 goals, 11 assists, 18 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 7 assists, 11 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 2 assists, 8 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 16 goals, 9 assists, 25 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 9 goals, 11 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
131 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.