Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Brett Pesce

NJD·D#22

vsFLA

Latest captured market

Mar 3 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 367 game sample

PTS: 20.1
SOG: 117.6
G: 3.5

A: 16.6
PPP: 0.6
HIT: 30.7
BLK: 156.7
PIM: 27.3

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 367 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 367 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 367 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.24
G: 0.04
A: 0.20
SOG: 1.43
PPP: 0.01
HIT: 0.37
BLK: 1.92
PIM: 0.33

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	37	1	6	7	0.19	45	20:18
2024-25	72	3	14	17	0.24	99	21:19
2023-24	70	3	10	13	0.19	107	20:17
2022-23	82	5	25	30	0.37	144	22:01
2021-22	70	7	21	28	0.40	148	21:42

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2024-25	5	0	3	3	0.60	8	26:43
2023-24	2	0	1	1	0.50	1	14:18
2022-23	15	2	4	6	0.40	35	23:28
2021-22	14	1	2	3	0.21	28	22:14

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 3 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10BLK 6/10

Date	Opp	SOG	A	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
Mar 3	vs FLA	2	0	0	3	0	22:04
Feb 28	@ STL	1	1	0	2	0	18:21
Feb 26	@ PIT	0	0	0	1	0	19:53
Feb 25	vs BUF	1	0	0	1	0	18:50
Feb 5	vs NYI	0	0	0	2	0	19:44
Feb 3	vs CBJ	2	0	0	2	0	19:59
Jan 31	@ OTT	0	0	1	1	2	18:29
Jan 29	vs NSH	2	0	0	2	0	18:51
Jan 27	vs WPG	0	0	0	1	0	21:32
Jan 25	@ SEA	0	0	1	3	0	16:55

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	2.3	1	minus 1.3 goals above expected	28	65
2024-25	4.8	3	minus 1.8 goals above expected	62	134
2023-24	5.1	3	minus 2.1 goals above expected	62	188
2022-23	6.6	5	minus 1.6 goals above expected	77	216
2021-22	6.3	7	plus 0.7 goals above expected	67	209

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points	0-0-0	0-0-0
2024-25	2 goals, 14 assists, 16 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2023-24	3 goals, 10 assists, 13 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-23	4 goals, 20 assists, 24 points	1 goal, 3 assists, 4 points	0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points
2021-22	6 goals, 19 assists, 25 points	1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

65 attempts · 1 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (20)Shot on goal (44)Goal (1)

Markets · Mar 3

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.1

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

Line

1.5

Proj

1.5

P(over)

44%

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.