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Nathan Walker

Nathan Walker

STL·FJersey number #26
vsANA
Latest captured market
Dec 1 · 8:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 261 game sample
PTS
20.4
SOG
76.2
G
9.3
A
11.1
PPP
0.1
HIT
289.3
BLK
65.7
PIM
60.2

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 261 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 261 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 261 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.25
G
0.11
A
0.13
SOG
0.92
PPP
0.00
HIT
3.55
BLK
0.80
PIM
0.74

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-264647110.243811:59
2024-257388160.227212:07
2023-244576130.294310:49
2022-235628100.184310:17
2021-223084120.403811:32

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2024-2573140.571114:38
2021-2240000.0028:17

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Dec 1 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 16@ UTA000051014:23
Apr 14vs PIT000031211:39
Apr 9vs WPG200040010:43
Apr 3@ ANA10006109:58
Mar 26vs SJS000011210:19
Mar 12@ CAR000030011:25
Mar 6@ SJS000022010:03
Feb 28vs NJD00006007:51
Feb 26vs SEA100052011:40
Feb 4@ DAL100030013:23

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Dec 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-264.94minus 0.9 goals above expected3561
2024-257.78plus 0.3 goals above expected54102
2023-243.97plus 3.1 goals above expected3354
2022-234.22minus 2.2 goals above expected3559
2021-224.78plus 3.3 goals above expected2455

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-264 goals, 7 assists, 11 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2024-258 goals, 7 assists, 15 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2023-247 goals, 6 assists, 13 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-232 goals, 8 assists, 10 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-228 goals, 4 assists, 12 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

61 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (22)Shot on goal (35)Goal (4)

Markets · Dec 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
11%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.1
P(over)
5%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.