Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 283 game sample- PTS
- 25.6
- SOG
- 107.8
- G
- 9.7
- A
- 15.9
- PPP
- 3.0
- HIT
- 34.0
- BLK
- 46.5
- PIM
- 20.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 283 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 283 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 283 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.31
- G
- 0.12
- A
- 0.19
- SOG
- 1.31
- PPP
- 0.04
- HIT
- 0.41
- BLK
- 0.56
- PIM
- 0.24
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 62 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 0.29 | 81 | 14:06 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 11:20 |
| 2023-24 | 57 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 0.26 | 50 | 11:06 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 15 | 22 | 37 | 0.45 | 154 | 15:46 |
| 2021-22 | 71 | 19 | 24 | 43 | 0.61 | 129 | 15:17 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 12 | 17:04 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15 | @ TBL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 |
| Apr 13 | @ FLA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11:50 |
| Apr 11 | @ DAL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 |
| Apr 8 | vs BUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 |
| Apr 5 | vs WSH | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 |
| Apr 4 | vs DET | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11:13 |
| Apr 2 | vs MTL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:29 |
| Mar 31 | vs NJD | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:37 |
| Mar 29 | vs FLA | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 |
| Mar 27 | vs CHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:28 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 8 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 10.6 | 7 | minus 3.6 goals above expected | 55 | 131 |
| 2024-25 | 0.6 | 0 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 3 | 5 |
| 2023-24 | 4.7 | 4 | minus 0.7 goals above expected | 42 | 65 |
| 2022-23 | 18.5 | 15 | minus 3.5 goals above expected | 78 | 217 |
| 2021-22 | 16.0 | 19 | plus 3.0 goals above expected | 67 | 182 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 9 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 4 goals, 11 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 11 goals, 17 assists, 28 points | 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 16 goals, 20 assists, 36 points | 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
Shot locations
131 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 8
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.