Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 393 game sample- PTS
- 30.7
- SOG
- 102.4
- G
- 11.9
- A
- 18.9
- PPP
- 4.9
- HIT
- 44.6
- BLK
- 60.9
- PIM
- 11.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 393 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 393 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 393 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.37
- G
- 0.14
- A
- 0.23
- SOG
- 1.25
- PPP
- 0.06
- HIT
- 0.54
- BLK
- 0.74
- PIM
- 0.14
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 68 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 0.35 | 70 | 16:08 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 18 | 19 | 37 | 0.45 | 110 | 15:40 |
| 2023-24 | 67 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 0.22 | 105 | 13:56 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 19 | 19 | 38 | 0.46 | 138 | 16:02 |
| 2021-22 | 76 | 14 | 30 | 44 | 0.58 | 132 | 16:19 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 14:27 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 | 17 | 17:42 |
| 2021-22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 11 | 15:41 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | @ COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 |
| Apr 15 | @ VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:37 |
| Apr 13 | vs LAK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 |
| Apr 11 | vs CGY | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:16 |
| Apr 9 | vs VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 |
| Apr 7 | @ MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 |
| Apr 6 | @ WPG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:41 |
| Apr 4 | vs CHI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 |
| Apr 2 | vs UTA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:16 |
| Mar 31 | @ EDM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8.1 | 7 | minus 1.1 goals above expected | 52 | 118 |
| 2024-25 | 11.5 | 18 | plus 6.5 goals above expected | 67 | 153 |
| 2023-24 | 7.0 | 5 | minus 2.0 goals above expected | 62 | 140 |
| 2022-23 | 15.3 | 19 | plus 3.7 goals above expected | 77 | 168 |
| 2021-22 | 15.0 | 14 | minus 1.0 goals above expected | 68 | 178 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 15 assists, 21 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 13 goals, 18 assists, 31 points | 5 goals, 1 assist, 6 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 3 goals, 5 assists, 8 points | 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 12 goals, 17 assists, 29 points | 3 goals, 1 assist, 4 points | 4 goals, 1 assist, 5 points |
| 2021-22 | 13 goals, 26 assists, 39 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points |
Shot locations
118 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.