Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 299 game sample- PTS
- 39.8
- SOG
- 163.5
- G
- 6.9
- A
- 32.8
- PPP
- 10.1
- HIT
- 38.8
- BLK
- 78.3
- PIM
- 48.1
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 299 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 299 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 299 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.49
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.40
- SOG
- 2.00
- PPP
- 0.12
- HIT
- 0.47
- BLK
- 0.96
- PIM
- 0.59
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 76 | 5 | 30 | 35 | 0.46 | 148 | 19:08 |
| 2024-25 | 35 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 0.54 | 76 | 23:20 |
| 2023-24 | 31 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 0.35 | 44 | 14:20 |
| 2022-23 | 70 | 11 | 31 | 42 | 0.60 | 174 | 22:04 |
| 2021-22 | 64 | 10 | 41 | 51 | 0.80 | 151 | 19:49 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.22 | 16 | 17:03 |
| 2021-22 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 0.71 | 28 | 21:31 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14 | vs CAR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:38 |
| Apr 12 | vs MTL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22:44 |
| Apr 11 | vs OTT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 |
| Apr 9 | vs TOR | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:33 |
| Mar 24 | vs CHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 |
| Mar 22 | vs CBJ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:23 |
| Mar 21 | @ MTL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21:01 |
| Mar 19 | @ OTT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:30 |
| Mar 17 | @ TOR | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:22 |
| Mar 14 | vs CGY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:42 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 11 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.1 | 5 | minus 2.1 goals above expected | 71 | 209 |
| 2024-25 | 3.8 | 4 | plus 0.2 goals above expected | 32 | 102 |
| 2023-24 | 1.7 | 3 | plus 1.3 goals above expected | 26 | 59 |
| 2022-23 | 9.5 | 11 | plus 1.5 goals above expected | 67 | 216 |
| 2021-22 | 6.8 | 10 | plus 3.2 goals above expected | 62 | 191 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4 goals, 24 assists, 28 points | 1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 11 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 4 assists, 5 points | 2 goals, 4 assists, 6 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 7 goals, 16 assists, 23 points | 4 goals, 15 assists, 19 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 8 goals, 24 assists, 32 points | 2 goals, 17 assists, 19 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
209 attempts · 5 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 11
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.