Sat, Sep 19, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Danton Heinen

CBJ·F#43

@CAR

Latest captured market

Apr 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 355 game sample

PTS: 28.1
SOG: 95.5
G: 11.7

A: 16.3
PPP: 1.3
HIT: 91.2
BLK: 41.6
PIM: 28.4

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 355 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 355 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 355 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.34
G: 0.14
A: 0.20
SOG: 1.16
PPP: 0.02
HIT: 1.11
BLK: 0.50
PIM: 0.35

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	46	6	6	12	0.26	44	11:20
2024-25	79	9	20	29	0.37	81	13:26
2023-24	74	17	19	36	0.49	119	14:28
2022-23	65	8	14	22	0.34	96	10:46
2021-22	76	18	15	33	0.43	138	12:43

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2023-24	8	0	1	1	0.13	10	15:18
2021-22	7	3	0	3	0.43	18	15:31

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	G	A	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
Apr 14	vs WSH	1	0	1	0	0	0	10:45
Apr 12	vs BOS	0	0	1	0	0	0	13:47
Apr 11	@ MTL	0	0	1	0	0	0	10:12
Apr 9	@ BUF	1	0	0	1	0	0	11:39
Apr 7	@ DET	3	1	0	1	0	0	13:19
Apr 4	vs WPG	1	0	0	0	0	2	12:00
Apr 2	@ CAR	0	0	0	2	1	2	13:37
Mar 31	vs CAR	1	0	0	0	1	0	12:40
Mar 29	vs BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:45
Mar 26	@ MTL	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:33

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	6.0	6	minus 0.0 goals above expected	36	74
2024-25	9.9	9	minus 0.9 goals above expected	59	120
2023-24	14.9	17	plus 2.1 goals above expected	65	168
2022-23	10.0	8	minus 2.0 goals above expected	53	125
2021-22	16.5	18	plus 1.5 goals above expected	69	183

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	6 goals, 6 assists, 12 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0-0-0
2024-25	7 goals, 19 assists, 26 points	1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2023-24	15 goals, 19 assists, 34 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2022-23	7 goals, 13 assists, 20 points	1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points	0-0-0
2021-22	15 goals, 14 assists, 29 points	3 goals, 1 assist, 4 points	0-0-0

Shot locations

74 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (30)Shot on goal (38)Goal (6)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.1

P(over)

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.