Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 269 game sample- PTS
- 56.9
- SOG
- 187.4
- G
- 15.9
- A
- 41.0
- PPP
- 19.0
- HIT
- 76.0
- BLK
- 80.0
- PIM
- 52.1
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 269 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 269 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 269 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.70
- G
- 0.19
- A
- 0.50
- SOG
- 2.29
- PPP
- 0.23
- HIT
- 0.92
- BLK
- 0.98
- PIM
- 0.64
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 73 | 22 | 48 | 70 | 0.96 | 212 | 22:41 |
| 2024-25 | 73 | 6 | 31 | 37 | 0.51 | 108 | 17:18 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 0.40 | 101 | 19:07 |
| 2022-23 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.18 | 25 | 16:29 |
| 2021-22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 10:40 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | 28 | 26:06 |
| 2024-25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 14:02 |
| 2023-24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 17:06 |
| 2022-23 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 14 | 25:13 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3 | vs MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26:07 |
| May 1 | @ MTLPO | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28:11 |
| Apr 29 | vs MTLPO | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25:26 |
| Apr 26 | @ MTLPO | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25:18 |
| Apr 24 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26:17 |
| Apr 21 | vs MTLPO | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27:28 |
| Apr 19 | vs MTLPO | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23:55 |
| Apr 15 | vs NYR | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18:51 |
| Apr 9 | @ MTL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13:59 |
| Apr 7 | @ OTT | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:42 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13.3 | 22 | plus 8.7 goals above expected | 69 | 322 |
| 2024-25 | 5.5 | 6 | plus 0.5 goals above expected | 67 | 182 |
| 2023-24 | 4.6 | 6 | plus 1.4 goals above expected | 70 | 158 |
| 2022-23 | 1.2 | 1 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 13 | 31 |
| 2021-22 | 0.1 | 0 | minus 0.1 goals above expected | 2 | 3 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 12 goals, 32 assists, 44 points | 10 goals, 16 assists, 26 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 24 assists, 28 points | 2 goals, 7 assists, 9 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 5 goals, 21 assists, 26 points | 1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2022-23 | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
322 attempts · 22 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.