Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 370 game sample- PTS
- 49.2
- SOG
- 175.5
- G
- 12.4
- A
- 36.8
- PPP
- 19.1
- HIT
- 42.4
- BLK
- 90.9
- PIM
- 59.2
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 370 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 370 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 370 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.60
- G
- 0.15
- A
- 0.45
- SOG
- 2.14
- PPP
- 0.23
- HIT
- 0.51
- BLK
- 1.11
- PIM
- 0.72
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 11 | 33 | 44 | 0.54 | 179 | 21:40 |
| 2024-25 | 62 | 11 | 28 | 39 | 0.63 | 137 | 22:05 |
| 2023-24 | 59 | 11 | 35 | 46 | 0.78 | 120 | 23:05 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 14 | 50 | 64 | 0.79 | 149 | 23:40 |
| 2021-22 | 73 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 0.48 | 121 | 20:41 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0.50 | 27 | 23:10 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16 | @ COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 20:36 |
| Apr 15 | @ VGK | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:41 |
| Apr 13 | vs LAK | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15:44 |
| Apr 11 | vs CGY | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18:56 |
| Apr 9 | vs VGK | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22:50 |
| Apr 7 | @ MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:18 |
| Apr 6 | @ WPG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:09 |
| Apr 4 | vs CHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:25 |
| Apr 2 | vs UTA | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:08 |
| Mar 31 | @ EDM | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:01 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 9 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9.7 | 11 | plus 1.3 goals above expected | 75 | 243 |
| 2024-25 | 6.3 | 11 | plus 4.7 goals above expected | 59 | 185 |
| 2023-24 | 7.5 | 11 | plus 3.5 goals above expected | 53 | 172 |
| 2022-23 | 10.8 | 14 | plus 3.2 goals above expected | 77 | 226 |
| 2021-22 | 7.5 | 7 | minus 0.5 goals above expected | 67 | 179 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9 goals, 14 assists, 23 points | 2 goals, 19 assists, 21 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2024-25 | 9 goals, 18 assists, 27 points | 2 goals, 10 assists, 12 points | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 7 goals, 22 assists, 29 points | 4 goals, 12 assists, 16 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 14 goals, 35 assists, 49 points | 0 goals, 15 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2021-22 | 5 goals, 19 assists, 24 points | 2 goals, 9 assists, 11 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
243 attempts · 11 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 9
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.