Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

John Marino

UTA·D#6

@SEA

Latest captured market

Apr 2 · 10:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 360 game sample

PTS: 32.7
SOG: 62.5
G: 4.3

A: 28.4
PPP: 0.1
HIT: 33.3
BLK: 87.3
PIM: 18.9

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 360 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 360 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 360 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.40
G: 0.05
A: 0.35
SOG: 0.76
PPP: 0.00
HIT: 0.40
BLK: 1.07
PIM: 0.23

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	80	4	32	36	0.45	55	20:12
2024-25	35	1	13	14	0.40	30	21:10
2023-24	75	4	21	25	0.33	57	20:58
2022-23	64	4	14	18	0.28	67	21:04
2021-22	81	1	24	25	0.31	90	20:38

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	6	1	0	1	0.17	4	22:28
2022-23	12	0	4	4	0.33	8	22:42
2021-22	7	0	1	1	0.14	8	23:16

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Apr 2 lineG 1/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	G	A	HIT	BLK	TOI
May 1	vs VGKPO	0	0	0	1	2	19:43
Apr 29	@ VGKPO	2	1	0	1	2	27:58
Apr 27	vs VGKPO	0	0	0	0	2	27:54
Apr 24	vs VGKPO	0	0	0	0	2	20:49
Apr 21	@ VGKPO	0	0	0	0	2	19:24
Apr 19	@ VGKPO	2	0	0	0	4	18:56
Apr 16	vs STL	2	0	1	0	0	19:14
Apr 14	vs WPG	0	0	0	1	1	18:40
Apr 9	vs NSH	0	0	0	0	0	18:28
Apr 7	vs EDM	1	0	1	0	0	18:36

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	4.4	4	minus 0.4 goals above expected	57	92
2024-25	1.3	1	minus 0.3 goals above expected	25	42
2023-24	5.2	4	minus 1.2 goals above expected	55	86
2022-23	4.4	4	minus 0.4 goals above expected	49	91
2021-22	4.9	1	minus 3.9 goals above expected	63	129

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	3 goals, 31 assists, 34 points	0-0-0	1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points
2024-25	1 goal, 13 assists, 14 points	0-0-0	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-24	4 goals, 20 assists, 24 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2022-23	4 goals, 13 assists, 17 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2021-22	1 goal, 20 assists, 21 points	0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points	0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points

Shot locations

92 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (37)Shot on goal (51)Goal (4)

Markets · Apr 2

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.