Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 335 game sample- PTS
- 19.6
- SOG
- 80.9
- G
- 8.0
- A
- 11.6
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 55.7
- BLK
- 60.4
- PIM
- 33.9
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 335 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 335 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 335 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.24
- G
- 0.10
- A
- 0.14
- SOG
- 0.98
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 0.68
- BLK
- 0.74
- PIM
- 0.41
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 80 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 0.23 | 66 | 14:29 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 0.34 | 102 | 14:21 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 0.19 | 81 | 12:36 |
| 2022-23 | 54 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0.17 | 63 | 11:39 |
| 2021-22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 7:32 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 8 | 14:48 |
| 2023-24 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 16 | 11:16 |
| 2022-23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 6 | 13:41 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1 | vs VGKPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:42 |
| Apr 29 | @ VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 |
| Apr 27 | vs VGKPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:52 |
| Apr 24 | vs VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:40 |
| Apr 21 | @ VGKPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:54 |
| Apr 19 | @ VGKPO | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 |
| Apr 16 | vs STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 |
| Apr 14 | vs WPG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 |
| Apr 12 | @ CGY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:07 |
| Apr 11 | vs CAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:12 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9.7 | 4 | minus 5.7 goals above expected | 62 | 118 |
| 2024-25 | 12.6 | 14 | plus 1.4 goals above expected | 67 | 151 |
| 2023-24 | 8.3 | 11 | plus 2.7 goals above expected | 58 | 104 |
| 2022-23 | 7.7 | 6 | minus 1.7 goals above expected | 44 | 93 |
| 2021-22 | 0.2 | 0 | minus 0.2 goals above expected | 2 | 3 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3 goals, 12 assists, 15 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points |
| 2024-25 | 13 goals, 14 assists, 27 points | 0-0-0 | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2023-24 | 9 goals, 4 assists, 13 points | 0-0-0 | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
| 2022-23 | 4 goals, 3 assists, 7 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 2 goals, 0 assists, 2 points |
| 2021-22 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
118 attempts · 4 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.