Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 156 game sample- PTS
- 28.1
- SOG
- 66.3
- G
- 5.3
- A
- 22.8
- PPP
- 0.4
- HIT
- 41.8
- BLK
- 95.7
- PIM
- 23.7
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 156 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 156 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 156 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.34
- G
- 0.06
- A
- 0.28
- SOG
- 0.80
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 0.50
- BLK
- 1.17
- PIM
- 0.29
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 80 | 6 | 29 | 35 | 0.44 | 72 | 18:53 |
| 2024-25 | 39 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0.13 | 19 | 16:44 |
| 2023-24 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 17 | 12:37 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 5 | 16:50 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29 | @ PHIPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:04 |
| Apr 27 | vs PHIPO | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:03 |
| Apr 25 | @ PHIPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16:46 |
| Apr 22 | @ PHIPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:20 |
| Apr 20 | vs PHIPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:07 |
| Apr 18 | vs PHIPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 |
| Apr 14 | @ STL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:58 |
| Apr 11 | vs WSH | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25:12 |
| Apr 9 | @ NJD | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:00 |
| Apr 5 | vs FLA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:48 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 4.3 | 6 | plus 1.7 goals above expected | 63 | 125 |
| 2024-25 | 0.8 | 2 | plus 1.2 goals above expected | 24 | 38 |
| 2023-24 | 0.4 | 1 | plus 0.6 goals above expected | 15 | 23 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 29 assists, 35 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0-0-0 |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
125 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.