Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 410 game sample- PTS
- 30.6
- SOG
- 90.3
- G
- 9.9
- A
- 20.7
- PPP
- 1.8
- HIT
- 81.6
- BLK
- 31.9
- PIM
- 30.8
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 410 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 410 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 410 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.37
- G
- 0.12
- A
- 0.25
- SOG
- 1.10
- PPP
- 0.02
- HIT
- 0.99
- BLK
- 0.39
- PIM
- 0.38
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 73 | 12 | 21 | 33 | 0.45 | 82 | 16:04 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 0.32 | 89 | 14:08 |
| 2023-24 | 77 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 0.31 | 86 | 13:14 |
| 2022-23 | 65 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 0.43 | 85 | 14:58 |
| 2021-22 | 68 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 0.29 | 66 | 12:19 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 16:40 |
| 2024-25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0.39 | 13 | 13:54 |
| 2023-24 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0.26 | 19 | 13:15 |
| 2022-23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | 6 | 15:35 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30 | @ MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 |
| Apr 28 | vs MINPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:35 |
| Apr 25 | @ MINPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:41 |
| Apr 22 | @ MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22:58 |
| Apr 20 | vs MINPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:32 |
| Apr 18 | vs MINPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 |
| Apr 15 | @ BUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 |
| Mar 26 | @ NYI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 |
| Mar 24 | vs NJD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:03 |
| Mar 22 | vs VGK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:10 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 8 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13.8 | 12 | minus 1.8 goals above expected | 59 | 121 |
| 2024-25 | 9.6 | 6 | minus 3.6 goals above expected | 62 | 124 |
| 2023-24 | 9.1 | 9 | minus 0.1 goals above expected | 69 | 126 |
| 2022-23 | 10.6 | 10 | minus 0.6 goals above expected | 54 | 119 |
| 2021-22 | 7.4 | 6 | minus 1.4 goals above expected | 44 | 89 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 11 goals, 19 assists, 30 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 5 goals, 17 assists, 22 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points |
| 2023-24 | 7 goals, 13 assists, 20 points | 0-0-0 | 2 goals, 2 assists, 4 points |
| 2022-23 | 9 goals, 15 assists, 24 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2021-22 | 6 goals, 11 assists, 17 points | 0 goals, 3 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 |
Shot locations
121 attempts · 12 goals · 2025-26Markets · Mar 8
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.