Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 276 game sample- PTS
- 14.7
- SOG
- 74.6
- G
- 6.2
- A
- 8.5
- PPP
- 0.1
- HIT
- 257.7
- BLK
- 75.6
- PIM
- 36.0
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 276 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this cold run probably won’t repeat
Among forwards · 973 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 276 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 276 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.18
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.10
- SOG
- 0.91
- PPP
- 0.00
- HIT
- 3.15
- BLK
- 0.92
- PIM
- 0.44
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 0.17 | 72 | 11:14 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0.13 | 67 | 10:32 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 0.26 | 98 | 14:14 |
| 2022-23 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | 7 | 9:55 |
| 2021-22 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 10 | 9:02 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.23 | 8 | 10:30 |
| 2023-24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 11:58 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:42 |
| May 16 | @ MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:22 |
| May 14 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9:21 |
| May 12 | @ MTLPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 |
| May 10 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:15 |
| May 8 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:11 |
| May 6 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:36 |
| May 1 | @ BOSPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:36 |
| Apr 28 | vs BOSPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:25 |
| Apr 26 | @ BOSPO | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:24 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 7.9 | 7 | minus 0.9 goals above expected | 54 | 109 |
| 2024-25 | 6.2 | 4 | minus 2.2 goals above expected | 58 | 105 |
| 2023-24 | 10.8 | 6 | minus 4.8 goals above expected | 63 | 139 |
| 2022-23 | 0.5 | 1 | plus 0.5 goals above expected | 6 | 10 |
| 2021-22 | 1.1 | 1 | minus 0.1 goals above expected | 9 | 15 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running cold is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 6 goals, 7 assists, 13 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point |
| 2024-25 | 4 goals, 6 assists, 10 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 6 goals, 14 assists, 20 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
| 2022-23 | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
Shot locations
109 attempts · 7 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.