Projected · remaining schedule
82 team games · 258 game sample- PTS
- 22.0
- SOG
- 88.6
- G
- 6.3
- A
- 15.7
- PPP
- 0.7
- HIT
- 123.6
- BLK
- 96.4
- PIM
- 138.6
Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 258 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.
What carries into 2026-27
a forecast, not a resultMost of this finishing edge probably won’t repeat
Among defencemen · 508 ranked
Production
Style & role
Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 258 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.
Observed rates
per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 258 games incl. playoffs- PTS
- 0.27
- G
- 0.08
- A
- 0.19
- SOG
- 1.08
- PPP
- 0.01
- HIT
- 1.51
- BLK
- 1.18
- PIM
- 1.70
Season totals
regular season| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 76 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 0.34 | 96 | 16:42 |
| 2024-25 | 63 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 0.22 | 49 | 15:35 |
| 2023-24 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | 29 | 13:46 |
| 2022-23 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.16 | 11 | 13:43 |
| 2021-22 | 58 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 0.22 | 80 | 15:38 |
Playoffs
postseason only| Season | GP | G | A | P | P/GP | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 13:04 |
| 2024-25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 11:38 |
| 2023-24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 2 | 9:59 |
| 2022-23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 8:58 |
Last 10 · game log
| Date | Opp | SOG | G | A | PPP | HIT | BLK | PIM | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10 | @ MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11:51 |
| May 8 | vs MTLPO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:27 |
| May 6 | vs MTLPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12:52 |
| Apr 28 | vs BOSPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14:51 |
| Apr 26 | @ BOSPO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16:21 |
| Apr 23 | @ BOSPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:25 |
| Apr 21 | vs BOSPO | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12:51 |
| Apr 19 | vs BOSPO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:51 |
| Apr 15 | vs DAL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:16 |
| Apr 13 | @ CHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:37 |
One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Apr 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.
Finishing — goals above expected
open play, regular season| Season | xG | G | GAx | GP | Att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 5.6 | 9 | plus 3.4 goals above expected | 65 | 170 |
| 2024-25 | 1.8 | 1 | minus 0.8 goals above expected | 50 | 83 |
| 2023-24 | 1.0 | 1 | plus 0.0 goals above expected | 21 | 45 |
| 2022-23 | 0.5 | 1 | plus 0.5 goals above expected | 12 | 22 |
| 2021-22 | 3.6 | 1 | minus 2.6 goals above expected | 48 | 128 |
How the 2026-27 projection is made
a forecast, not a resultFinishing persists year over year, but only partly. That share is measured over five seasons of skaters clearing the same 100-attempt floor, and what does not carry regresses toward the rate for the player's position.
Shot volume is not projected, so the goal figure assumes the same number of attempts. A persistent gap means the skater reliably scores above what this model expects — which may be finishing skill or may be shots the model under-rates, and the measurement cannot separate the two. Running hot is a statement about the season just played, not about talent.
This projection is written to a prediction log on the night it is produced, so it can be scored against what actually happens rather than restated later.
Production by strength
G-A-P, regular season| Season | Even strength | Power play | Shorthanded |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 9 goals, 16 assists, 25 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2024-25 | 1 goal, 13 assists, 14 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2023-24 | 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 points | 0-0-0 | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points |
| 2022-23 | 1 goal, 2 assists, 3 points | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2021-22 | 1 goal, 11 assists, 12 points | 0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points | 0 goals, 1 assist, 1 point |
Shot locations
170 attempts · 9 goals · 2025-26Markets · Apr 2
modeled projectionsPer-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.