Fri, Sep 18, 2026

Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Nathan Bastian

DAL·F#11

Club as of this player’s most recent priced game

@VAN

Latest captured market

Mar 2 · 10:00 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 281 game sample

PTS: 16.3
SOG: 71.0
G: 9.7

A: 6.7
PPP: 0.7
HIT: 198.5
BLK: 32.8
PIM: 48.0

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 281 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among forwards · 973 ranked

Production

Points

Goals

Assists

Shots

PP Points

Style & role

Hits

Blocks

PIM

Percentile against 973 forwards, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 281 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 281 games incl. playoffs

PTS: 0.20
G: 0.12
A: 0.08
SOG: 0.86
PPP: 0.01
HIT: 2.43
BLK: 0.40
PIM: 0.59

Season totals

regular season

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2025-26	36	6	1	7	0.19	25	8:38
2024-25	59	4	6	10	0.17	44	10:56
2023-24	54	5	7	12	0.22	57	10:10
2022-23	43	6	9	15	0.35	62	12:26
2021-22	72	12	6	18	0.25	97	11:54

Playoffs

postseason only

Season	GP	G	A	P	P/GP	SOG	TOI
2024-25	5	0	0	0	0.00	6	11:37
2022-23	12	1	1	2	0.17	13	11:16

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Mar 2 lineG 2/10PPP 0/10

Date	Opp	SOG	G	A	HIT	BLK	PIM	TOI
Mar 28	@ PIT	0	0	0	1	1	0	4:02
Mar 26	@ NYI	2	0	0	1	0	0	8:32
Mar 22	vs VGK	0	0	0	4	0	0	8:43
Mar 21	@ MIN	0	0	0	0	0	2	9:16
Mar 18	@ COL	0	0	1	5	0	0	9:14
Mar 14	vs DET	0	0	0	2	0	2	7:33
Mar 8	vs CHI	2	1	0	2	0	0	11:32
Mar 6	vs COL	0	0	0	2	0	2	8:16
Mar 3	@ CGY	1	1	0	1	0	0	11:33
Mar 2	@ VAN	0	0	0	6	0	0	13:50

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Mar 2 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season

Season	xG	G	GAx	GP	Att
2025-26	4.1	6	plus 1.9 goals above expected	24	36
2024-25	7.1	4	minus 3.1 goals above expected	38	62
2023-24	7.8	5	minus 2.8 goals above expected	39	80
2022-23	9.2	6	minus 3.2 goals above expected	35	89
2021-22	14.4	12	minus 2.4 goals above expected	58	145

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season

Season	Even strength	Power play	Shorthanded
2025-26	6 goals, 1 assist, 7 points	0-0-0	0-0-0
2024-25	2 goals, 6 assists, 8 points	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point	1 goal, 0 assists, 1 point
2023-24	5 goals, 7 assists, 12 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2022-23	6 goals, 9 assists, 15 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2021-22	9 goals, 5 assists, 14 points	3 goals, 1 assist, 4 points	0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

36 attempts · 6 goals · 2025-26

Missed the net (11)Shot on goal (19)Goal (6)

Markets · Mar 2

modeled projections

Anytime goal

Line

0.5

Proj

0.2

P(over)

15%

Assists

No line posted.

PPP

Power-play points

Line

0.5

Proj

0.0

P(over)

HITS

Hits

No line posted.

BLK

Blocked shots

No line posted.

PIM

Penalty minutes

No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.