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Conor Timmins

Conor Timmins

BUF·DJersey number #21
vsWPG
Latest captured market
Dec 1 · 7:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 178 game sample
PTS
18.8
SOG
86.3
G
1.8
A
16.9
PPP
0.9
HIT
66.4
BLK
140.9
PIM
39.7

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 178 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 178 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 178 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.23
G
0.02
A
0.21
SOG
1.05
PPP
0.01
HIT
0.81
BLK
1.73
PIM
0.48

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26390880.214418:46
2024-2568312150.226916:55
2023-242519100.402516:01
2022-2327212140.521915:05
2021-2260000.00517:45

Playoffs

postseason only
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26130220.151316:48

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Dec 1 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10BLK 5/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
May 18vs MTLPO300000018:43
May 16@ MTLPO000005017:26
May 14vs MTLPO101010010:56
May 12@ MTLPO000025021:38
May 10@ MTLPO000001217:22
May 8vs MTLPO001014018:08
May 6vs MTLPO000003019:39
May 1@ BOSPO000011018:39
Apr 28vs BOSPO000002017:08
Apr 26@ BOSPO300011015:58

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Dec 1 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-261.30minus 1.3 goals above expected3470
2024-252.93plus 0.1 goals above expected57110
2023-241.21minus 0.2 goals above expected1938
2022-230.92plus 1.1 goals above expected1727
2021-220.40minus 0.4 goals above expected510

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-260 goals, 8 assists, 8 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2024-253 goals, 12 assists, 15 points0-0-00 goals, 0 assists, 0 points
2023-241 goal, 7 assists, 8 points0 goals, 2 assists, 2 points0-0-0
2022-232 goals, 8 assists, 10 points0 goals, 4 assists, 4 points0-0-0
2021-220 goals, 0 assists, 0 points0-0-00-0-0

Shot locations

70 attempts · 0 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (26)Shot on goal (44)Goal (0)

Markets · Dec 1

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
3%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
5%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
Line
1.5
Proj
1.8
P(over)
52%
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.