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Jacob Bryson

Jacob Bryson

DET·DJersey number #78
Played for BUF in the game shown
BUF@TBL
Latest captured market
Feb 3 · 7:30 PM ET

Projected · remaining schedule

82 team games · 266 game sample
PTS
13.4
SOG
37.1
G
2.2
A
11.2
PPP
0.5
HIT
29.6
BLK
67.1
PIM
16.4

Each figure is this player's recency-weighted per-game rate over 266 real games × their team's 82 scheduled games. Availability is not projected — injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled anywhere in this project, so the team's schedule is the multiplier, not a forecast of how many games this player will dress for. League board.

Among defencemen · 508 ranked

Production

Style & role

Percentile against 508 defencemen, 2025-26. Shrunk rate is the per-game rate the rank was computed from, pulled toward the league mean by sample size so a short career does not read as an elite one — so it sits closer to average than the rate actually recorded. This skater’s sample is 266 games. Further right means more, not better: hits, blocks and penalty minutes describe a role, not quality.

Observed rates

per game · recency-weighted, not shrunk · 266 games incl. playoffs
PTS
0.16
G
0.03
A
0.14
SOG
0.44
PPP
0.00
HIT
0.35
BLK
0.82
PIM
0.20

Season totals

regular season
SeasonGPGAPP/GPSOGTOI
2025-26502680.162210:52
2024-25480770.152014:23
2023-24361780.221514:41
2022-23591890.152714:35
2021-227319100.144318:20

Last 10 · game log

cleared the Feb 3 lineG 0/10PPP 0/10
DateOppSOGGAPPPHITBLKPIMTOI
Apr 14@ UTA100022017:04
Apr 13@ VGK200002013:21
Apr 11vs PHI000000014:25
Apr 9@ STL101010011:14
Apr 6vs SEA000001015:28
Apr 4@ CBJ100000012:08
Mar 31@ CHI000011010:47
Mar 28@ COL00100109:26
Mar 19@ BOS200000011:49
Mar 17vs NSH00000009:24

One threshold, applied to all 10: each figure counts how many of the 10 games above would have cleared the Feb 3 posted line. It is not a record against 10 separate lines — this player was priced once, and games after that date are measured against the same number.

Finishing — goals above expected

open play, regular season
SeasonxGGGAxGPAtt
2025-261.32plus 0.7 goals above expected2935
2024-251.00minus 1.0 goals above expected2429
2023-240.41plus 0.6 goals above expected1522
2022-231.11minus 0.1 goals above expected2740
2021-221.61minus 0.6 goals above expected3751

Production by strength

G-A-P, regular season
SeasonEven strengthPower playShorthanded
2025-262 goals, 6 assists, 8 points0-0-00-0-0
2024-250 goals, 7 assists, 7 points0-0-00-0-0
2023-241 goal, 7 assists, 8 points0-0-00-0-0
2022-231 goal, 7 assists, 8 points0-0-00 goals, 1 assist, 1 point
2021-220 goals, 3 assists, 3 points1 goal, 6 assists, 7 points0 goals, 0 assists, 0 points

Shot locations

35 attempts · 2 goals · 2025-26
Missed the net (13)Shot on goal (20)Goal (2)

Markets · Feb 3

modeled projections
G
Anytime goal
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
2%
A
Assists
No line posted.
PPP
Power-play points
Line
0.5
Proj
0.0
P(over)
2%
HITS
Hits
No line posted.
BLK
Blocked shots
No line posted.
PIM
Penalty minutes
No line posted.

Per-game rates are recency-weighted over this player's game log. Expected goals come from the xG model over open-play unblocked attempts; totals are not directly comparable across seasons. Every market — anytime goals, assists, power-play points, SOG, hits, blocks and PIMs — is a modeled projection. Every number on this page was worked out overnight and is only read here, never recalculated while you wait.